Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings Betting Pick & Prediction 4/12/24

At 10:30 ET, the Sacramento Kings (45-35) will host the Phoenix Suns (47-33) at the Golden 1 Center. The Suns are favored by 5 and have a moneyline of -198. Sacramento is currently on a two-game losing streak.

This Western Pacific matchup will be aired on NBCS. The over/under line is set at 225.5 points.

PHOENIX SUNS VS SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Sacramento Kings +5

This game will be played at Golden 1 Center at 10:30 ET on Friday, April 12th.

WHY BET THE SACRAMENTO KINGS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 112-111 in favor of the Kings.
• Our projections have De’Aaron Fox finishing with De’Aaron Fox points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
• From the field, we have the Kings finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.7% and knocking down 12 threes.

Can the Suns Offense Score Enough on the Road?

In games against Western Conference opponents, the Suns have gone 27-23 compared to 20-10 against the East. This season, they are 47-33 overall, which is 7th in the West.

On the road, the Suns are 22-17 this season and have won their last two games away from home. Against the spread, they are 18-21 on the road and 25-34 as the favorite.

Phoenix’s ATS record for the season is 34-45, including a 2-game ATS win streak on the road. Today, they are favored by 5 points and have a 39-21 record as the favorite.

In their most recent game, the Suns beat the Clippers by a score of 124-108. The O/U line for that game was 220.5, and Phoenix covered the spread (-11.5).

This season, the Suns have an average over/under line of 231.1, with their games averaging 229.6 points. They have a 35-44-1 O/U record for the season.

So far this season, the Suns have been one of the top scoring teams in the NBA, averaging 116.2 points per game (10th). When playing on the road, they have actually been slightly better, averaging 116.7 points per game (7th).

When it comes to shooting, the Suns are one of the best teams in the league. They are currently 5th in field goal percentage at 49%. In terms of pace, they are right in the middle of the pack at 15th.

One area where the Suns have excelled is getting to the free-throw line. They are 6th in free throw attempts per game (23.5) and 2nd in made free throws (19). In terms of three-point shooting, the Suns are 6th in percentage but just 24th in attempts.

In terms of defense, Suns is currently on par with the NBA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 113.4 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Suns are forcing 14.1 per game, which is 25th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 5th in blocked shots at 6.1 per game.

Can the Kings Pull Off a Home Win?

Sacramento’s games have averaged 231.9 points per game this season, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 225.5. In 64 of their 80 games, the O/U line has been higher than 225.5.

This season, the Kings have gone 37-42-1 on the over/under. In non-conference games, their O/U record is 16-14, compared to 21-28-1 in the Western Conference.

Sacramento’s ATS record for the season is 40-40, and they have failed to cover in their last two games. At home, they are 16-23 ATS and 11-15 as underdogs.

In their last game against the Pelicans, the Kings lost by a score of 135-123. The O/U line for that game was 217.5, and Sacramento was favored by 1.5 points.

In the Western Conference standings, the Kings are currently in 8th place with a record of 45-35. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 29-21 and 10-6 in the Pacific Division.

When playing at home, the Kings are averaging 118.8 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 9th in the league in scoring at 116.6 points per game. Sacramento has outscored the NBA scoring average in 57.5% of their games this season.

So far this season, the Kings have made an average of 14.4 three-pointers per game, which is 4th in the league. They are also 7th in two-point field goal percentage at 56%. In terms of overall field goal percentage, Sacramento is shooting 47%, which is 15th in the NBA.

When it comes to pace, the Kings are 14th in the league at 99.2 possessions per game. In terms of assists, Sacramento is 7th in the NBA with an average of 28.4 per game. For offensive rebounds, they are 11th at 10.8 per game.

At present, the Kings’ defense is ranked 19th, allowing 115.3 points per game. In their previous matchup vs. the Pelicans, the Kings’ defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 57% leading to 135 points.