Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 4/11/24

First pitch for today’s AL Central matchup between the Twins and Tigers is set for 1:10 PM at Comerica Park in Detroit. The Tigers come into the game with a record of 7-4 compared to the Twins at 4-6. You can catch this game on BSN.

Looking at the forecast, it looks like there will be some moderate rain with temperature sitting in the upper 40s. The over/under line for the game is currently at 7 runs, with Pablo Lopez starting for the Twins up against Tarik Skubal for the Tigers, who are favored at -124 on the money line.

DETROIT TIGERS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline -124

This game will be played at Comerica Park at 1:10 ET on Thursday, April 11th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS TIGERS:

• We have the Tigers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Twins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota closed out their series with the Dodgers by picking up a 3-2 win. Going into the game, they were at +147 on the money line. The Twins’ offense struggled for most of the game before tying things up in the 8th with two runs and added another two in the 9th to close things out.

Chris Paddack went 4 2/3 innings for the Twins, giving up two earned runs and six hits. He had five strikeouts and allowed one home run. Edouard Julien had a big game at the plate, going 3/4 with two homers and scoring three times. Carlos Correa also had a two-hit game for the Twins.

Pablo Lopez and the Twins are on the road to take on the Tigers. Lopez has made two starts this season, and he picked up a win in his first outing against the Royals. He went 7 innings, striking out 7 and only allowing 1 run. However, he took the loss in his last start, giving up 4 runs in 5 2/3 innings against the Guardians.

When it comes to the Twins’ offensive projections, we have Byron Buxton with the highest odds to hit a home run on the team, and his home run projection is 9th best in the league today. We also like Manuel Margot to have the most hits for the Twins, and Carlos Correa is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits.

Tigers Records & Stats

Even though the Tigers’ offense scored only five runs in their previous game vs. the Pirates, they were still able to pick up the win. Going into the game, they were at +103 on the money line. The Pirates made things interesting after pulling to within one run in the 8th, but Jason Foley was able to close things out and earned the save.

Shelby Miller got the win out of the bullpen, and Casey Mize started for the Tigers, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. Mize allowed one home run and five total hits.

After dropping two of three to the Pirates, the Tigers have a chance to make up some ground in the AL Central as they trail the Twins by 1.5 games for the division lead. So far, Detroit has gone 3-0 against division opponents.

Although they have struggled at home, the Tigers have been much better on the road, going 6-2. They have also been good as the favorite, going 4-2, compared to 3-2 as the underdog.

When the Tigers are favored, they are 0-6 on the run line, but when they are underdogs, they are 4-1. Overall, they are 4-7 on the run line this season, with an average run differential of 0.0 runs per game. Their run line record is 0-3 at home and 4-4 on the road. In their wins, their average run differential is +2.0 runs, while in their losses, it’s -3.5 runs.

The Tigers have an over/under record of 4-6 this season, with an average over/under line of 8 runs per game. Their games have averaged 6.9 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is 1-0. So far this season, 90.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 7 runs.

After starting the season with a win on the road against the White Sox, Tarik Skubal will be making his first start at home this season. In his first start, he went 6 innings, striking out 6 and not allowing a run. He followed that up with a no-decision against the Athletics, where he struck out 9 but did give up 4 runs.

When looking at the Tigers’ offensive projections for today, Kerry Carpenter is our top projected hitter in terms of total hits. His total hits projection is 8th best in the league for today. Spencer Torkelson has the best odds on the team to hit a home run, with his home run projection being 9th best in the league for today. Gio Urshela is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits, and his total hits projection is 9th best in the league for today.