Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Betting Pick & Prediction 4/9/24

The Miami Heat (-163) will travel to Atlanta to take on the Hawks (+136) at 7:30 ET. The Heat are currently favored by 3.5 points over the Hawks. Miami is 43-35 and 8th in the Eastern Conference while Atlanta is 36-42 and 10th in the East.

This is a Southeast Division matchup and the Hawks have lost two straight games. The over/under line for this game is 222.5 points. The game will be played at State Farm Arena and can be seen on BSSE.

MIAMI HEAT VS ATLANTA HAWKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat -3.5

This game will be played at State Farm Arena at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, April 9th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 133-102 in favor of the Heat.
• Our projections have Jimmy Butler finishing with Jimmy Butler points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
• From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.7% and knocking down 13 threes.

Will Miami Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?

Miami’s O/U record for the season is 32-46, and they have hit the over in their last six games. Today’s line of 222.5 is higher than the season average of 218.5 points per game.

In their last game against the Pacers, the two teams combined for 232 points, surpassing the O/U line of 228.5. Miami lost the game by a score of 117-115.

Miami has an ATS record of 38-37 this season, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 23-14 ATS compared to 15-23 at home.

As the favorite, Miami has a record of 32-13 this season, and they are 3.5-point favorites today. When favored, they have gone 21-21 ATS and have a scoring margin of +4.8 points per game.

In the Eastern Conference standings, Miami is currently in 8th place with a record of 43-35. Against the East, they are 29-20 compared to 14-15 against the West.

So far this season, the Heat have been a below-average offensive team, ranking just 27th in scoring at 110 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the league at 95.7 possessions per game.

When looking at their shooting numbers, the Heat are 23rd in field goal percentage at 46%. From beyond the arc, they are 13th in three-point shooting at 36%. Overall, Miami is 18th in true shooting percentage.

When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Heat are 13th in attempts at 22.2 per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, Miami is 27th in the league with an average of 9.4 per contest.

This season, the Heat’s defense is the 4th ranked defense in the NBA at 4th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 78.2% of their games. On two point field goal attempts, the Heat’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.3% and allowing 35.7% from beyond the arc.

Can the Hawks Secure a Win at Home?

In their last game, the Hawks lost to the Nuggets by a score of 142-110. The combined scoring total of 252 points was well above the O/U line of 223. Atlanta was a 10.5-point underdog in the game, which gives them an ATS record of 28-50 on the season.

For the season, the Hawks have an O/U record of 43-35, with an average combined scoring total of 239 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 222.5, and Atlanta has played in 64 games with higher O/U lines than that.

In the Eastern Conference, the Hawks are currently in 10th place with a record of 36-42. In the Southeast Division, they are in 3rd place. Atlanta is looking to snap a two-game losing streak as they are 3.5-point underdogs at home today.

Against the spread, the Hawks have an overall record of 28-50, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games at home. On average, they have gone 15-24 ATS at home and 13-26 on the road.

When playing at home, the Hawks are averaging 122.4 points per game, which is 4th in the league. On the season, they are 5th in scoring at 118.7 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Atlanta is 20th at 46%.

So far, the Hawks have made an average of 13.8 three-pointers per game, which is 6th in the NBA. They are also 6th in free throws made per game at 18.7. In terms of pace, Atlanta is 6th in the league.

When it comes to two-point shooting, the Hawks are 20th in the league at 53%. Overall, they are 17th in true shooting percentage. In terms of assists, Atlanta is 17th at 26.5 per game.

Looking at the Hawks defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 120.3 points per game (28th). In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Hawks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 56.9% while allowing 38.7% from downtown.