Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 4/8/24

At 9:40 PM ET in San Diego, the Padres will host the Cubs in this NL matchup. The Cubs come into this game with a 6-3 record, while the Padres are 5-7. The pitching matchup for tonight’s game will be Javier Assad for the Cubs, and Yu Darvish for the Padres. The Padres are the favorites in this one, with a money line of -137 compared to the Cubs’ +115.

The over/under line for this game is set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -117 compared to the under at -104. If you’re looking at the run line, the Padres are +154 to cover -1.5 runs, while the Cubs are -194 to cover +1.5 runs.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -137

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Monday, April 8th.

HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS PADRES:

• We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cubs to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Cubs Records & Stats

Chicago got a good outing from Yency Almonte in their series final vs. the Dodgers, picking up an 8-1 win. Almonte went 7 innings and allowed just one run while striking out eight. At the plate, the Cubs went deep three times and had a total of seven hits.

Shota Imanaga started for the Cubs, going four innings and giving up two hits. He didn’t allow a run or a baserunner after the 2nd inning. Cody Bellinger went 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs, and Michael Busch went 1/4 with three RBIs.

Javier Assad will be making his second start of the season, and he’s coming off a strong outing at home against the Rockies. In that game, he went 6 innings, allowing 4 hits and 1 walk, but he did not allow a run. Assad finished with 5 strikeouts and picked up the win.

Our model is projecting Seiya Suzuki to have a strong game offensively for the Cubs, as he has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 16th highest in the league today. He also has the best odds to hit a home run for the Cubs, with the 6th best odds in the league. If you are looking for a longshot bet, Christopher Morel has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run on the team and the 11th best odds in the league today.

Padres Records & Stats

The Padres’ offense struggled in their most recent game vs. the Giants, but they still had a chance to pick up the win, as they were leading 2-1 heading into the bottom of the 9th. However, the Giants scored twice in their half of the 9th to hand the Padres a 3-2 loss. Jhony Brito was handed the loss out of the bullpen for the Padres.

Matt Waldron started for the Padres, going 5 1/3 innings while not giving up a run or hit. Waldron struck out five in his start. At the plate, Jackson Merrill went 4/4 and scored the Padres only two runs. Jake Cronenworth also had a good game, going 2/4 with a double and an RBI.

San Diego is currently 4th in the NL West, three games behind the Dodgers. They are 5-7 on the season and have gone 4-5 against divisional opponents. The Padres are 3-5 at home and 2-2 on the road. In terms of series, they have gone 1-2-1.

San Diego will be hosting the Cubs, who are 1st in the NL Central. The Padres are 3-4 as favorites and 2-3 as underdogs.

San Diego has an even run differential on the season, but they have been a profitable team to bet on the run line, going 6-6. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 4-0, while they have struggled at home, going just 2-6. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 4-1 on the run line, compared to 2-5 as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +4.0, while it is -2.9 in losses.

San Diego’s over/under record is 5-6, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. However, their games have averaged 10 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Cubs is set at 7.5 runs. The Padres have gone under the total in five straight games, including their last game against the Giants, which had a combined total of just five runs.

Yu Darvish has had a solid start to the season, but he is still looking for his first win. In his first start, he went 5 innings, giving up 1 run and striking out 7. Then, in his last outing, he went 7 innings, but took the loss after giving up 3 runs to the Cardinals.

When it comes to the Padres’ offensive projections, we have Xander Bogaerts leading the team in terms of total hits, as his projection is 16th best in the league today. Manny Machado has the best odds on the team to hit a home run, as his projection is 11th best in the league. Fernando Tatis Jr. is 2nd on the team in terms of home run projections, and Luis Campusano is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits.