Ottawa Senators vs Washington Capitals Betting Pick & Prediction 4/7/24

Looking to win big? The Senators and Capitals face off at 6:00 ET on ESPN+. The Capitals are hosting the game at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 6 goals, and the Capitals are -1.5 goal favorite to win at home against the Senators.

OTTAWA SENATORS VS WASHINGTON CAPITALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Capitals -1.5

This game will be played at Capital One Arena at 6:00 ET on Sunday, April 7th.

WHY BET THE WASHINGTON CAPITALS:

• Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Senators.
• We like the Senators on the moneyline (+111)
• The Senators are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Will the Senators Find a Way to Win in Washington?

On the year, Ottawa is 33-39-4 and in 7th place in the Atlantic Division. They have gone 23-21 against the Eastern Conference and have lost three straight games. In games where they are the underdog, the Senators are 17-23-4 this season.

In the Eastern Conference, Ottawa is in 14th place and has gone 5-5 in their last ten games. On the road, the Senators have a record of 13-21-2 and have lost three straight games when they are the underdog.

On the season, Ottawa has a puck line record of 36-40 and their average scoring differential is -.3 goals per game. So far, the Senators have been the underdog in 44 of their games and their puck line record as the underdog is 26-18.

When looking at their road puck line record, it sits at 17-19, and their average scoring margin away from home is -.4 goals per contest. In their last ten road games, Ottawa’s puck line record is 6-4, and they have won four straight games vs. the puck line on the road.

This season, Ottawa’s games have an average of 6.7 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.5. The Senators come in with an over/under performance of 40-33-3.

In their last three road games, Ottawa has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.

On the offensive side, the Senators are scoring an 3.1 goals per game this season, ranking 16th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 11th in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Senators offense is 17th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 18th in the NHL.

Ottawa’s leading goal scorer is Brady Tkachuk. So far this season, he has 34 goals, placing him 20th in the NHL. Tkachuk also comes into the game with 33 assists.

Washington defense takes on the Senators ranked 14th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 30.7 shots per game against Washington. They also are 8th in shutouts, with 6 shutouts.

Goalie Joonas Korpisalo comes into the game having made 45 starts this season. So far, his record is 19-24 and he has a save percentage of 0.903%.

Can Washington Secure a Home Victory?

With just four games remaining in the regular season, the Capitals are in 10th place in the Eastern Conference and sixth in the Metropolitan Division. They have lost three straight games and have gone 0-5 in their last five contests. At home this season, Washington has a record of 20-12-6.

Against teams from the Eastern Conference, the Capitals have gone 21-23 this season. When favored, Washington has gone 14-3-2, and they have won two straight games when favored. For the year, the Capitals have gone 36-30-10 and have accumulated 82 points.

The Capitals have an average scoring margin of -.5 goals per game this season and have gone 36-40 against the puck line overall. So far, they have 18 wins by more than one goal and have dropped 28 games by multiple goals. Washington comes into the game having gone just 4-6 against the puck line in their last ten games and have dropped their last three games vs. the puck line.

So far, the Capitals have gone just 19-19 against the puck line at home, where they have an average scoring margin of -.2 goals per game. As the favorite, Washington has gone just 5-14 against the puck line and is 31-26 against the puck line as the underdog. In their last five games at home, the Capitals have gone 3-2 vs. the puck line.

Games involving Washington have an average of 5.9 goals per game this season. Their average over/under line is 6. In terms of their over/under performance, the Capitals come in with a record of 34-38-4.

In their last three road games, Ottawa has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.

For their offensive performance, the Capitals come in averaging 2.7 goals per game this season, which is 28th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 30th in the league. In terms of the Capitals’ offense during power plays, they are 20th in power play goals and 32nd in shorthanded goals.

Washington’s leading scorer is Alex Ovechkin. So far, he has 29 goals which is 39th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Ovechkin has 33 assists this season.

Washington defense takes on the Senators ranked 14th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 30.7 shots per game against Washington. They also are 8th in shutouts, with 6 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Ottawa, goalie Charlie Lindgren has started 42 games in this season. His current record is 21-15, and his save percentage stands at 0.823%.