Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick & Prediction 4/7/24

The Houston Rockets travel to Dallas to take on the Mavericks in a Western Southwest divisional matchup. The Rockets are 11th in the West and have lost four straight games. Dallas is fifth in the conference and has won two in a row. The Mavericks are favored by 6.5 points and the over/under is 226.5.

This game will be played at the American Airlines Center and tips off at 3:30 ET. It can be seen on NBA TV. Houston is +223 on the moneyline, while Dallas is -279.

HOUSTON ROCKETS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Rockets +6.5

This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 3:30 ET on Sunday, April 7th.

WHY BET THE HOUSTON ROCKETS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-110 in favor of the Mavericks.
• Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists.
• From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.0% and knocking down 16 threes.

Are the Rockets Ready for a Road Win?

Houston is currently 38-39 on the season and are in 11th place in the Western Conference. In the Southwest Division, they are in 3rd place.

As underdogs, the Rockets have gone 15-34 this season and have an ATS record of 24-24 as underdogs. They have been the underdog in 49 of their 77 games.

On the road, the Rockets are 16-20 ATS and have an average scoring differential of -3.6 points per game. Their ATS losing streak on the road is at 2 games.

In their last four games, the Rockets have lost straight-up and are 43-33 ATS for the season. Today, they are 6.5-point underdogs and have gone 4-2 ATS as underdogs.

In their last game, the Rockets lost to the Heat by a score of 119-104. The O/U line for that game was 217 points, and Houston was getting 3.5 points going into the game.

This season, the Rockets have gone 38-39 on the over/under, and their games have averaged a combined 226.8 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 226.5.

Heading into the game, the Rockets are 16th in the NBA in scoring at 113.9 points per game. However, when playing on the road, they are averaging 111.6 points per game (20th).

So far this season, Houston has outscored the NBA scoring average in 41.6% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 14th in the league at 99.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to field goal percentage, the Rockets are 28th in the league at 45%. From beyond the arc, they are shooting 35% (23rd).

At present, the Rockets’ defense is ranked 12th, allowing 112.9 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Rockets are forcing 12.2 per game, which is 10th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 24th in blocked shots at 4.4 per game.

Will Dallas Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Warriors by a score of 108-106. The O/U line for that game was 223 points, and the Mavericks covered the spread as 1-point underdogs.

For the season, Dallas has an O/U record of 35-42, and the under has hit in their last three games. On average, their games have finished with 233.9 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 226.5.

Dallas is 35-12 as the favorite this season and has been favored in 47 of their 77 games. As the favorite, their scoring margin is +6.9 PPG. Against the spread, the Mavericks are 30-17 as the favorite and have an ATS record of 20-19 at home.

The Mavericks are currently 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 47-30. In the West, they are 30-20 against other conference teams and 17-10 in non-conference play. In the Southwest Division, they are in 1st place.

This season, the Mavericks have been one of the most prolific three-point shooting teams in the NBA. They are 2nd in the league in three-point attempts at 39.5 per game and have made an average of 14.7 threes per game (2nd).

At home, the Mavericks are averaging 118.7 points per game (8th), compared to 117.7 on the road. Overall, they are 6th in the NBA in scoring at 118.2 points per game.

When it comes to pace, Dallas is 10th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 11th overall at 48%. Additionally, the Mavericks are 9th in true shooting percentage.

So far, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 20th in the league at 115.7 points per contest. The Dallas defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.7% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.6% of their field goal attempts vs. Dallas.