Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Betting Pick & Prediction 4/6/24

The Atlanta Hawks (+565) will travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets (-836) at Ball Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 ET and this non-conference matchup can be seen on ALT.

Denver (-12.5) is currently favored and comes into this game with a 53-24 record. They are 2nd in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Northwest Division. Atlanta is 10th in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Southeast. They are 36-41 and have a moneyline of +565. The over/under line is set at 221.

ATLANTA HAWKS VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Atlanta Hawks +12.5

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 ET on Saturday, April 6th.

WHY BET THE ATLANTA HAWKS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 112-110 in favor of the Hawks.
• Our projections have Dejounte Murray finishing with Dejounte Murray points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
• From the field, we have the Hawks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.1% and knocking down 12 threes.

Are Atlanta Ready for a Road Win?

The Hawks are 12.5-point underdogs today against the Nuggets. This season, Atlanta has an ATS record of 13-23 as the underdog, going 12-24 straight-up. As the underdog, they are 36-41 this season.

In their most recent game, the Hawks lost to the Mavericks by a score of 109-95. They were 12-point underdogs in that game and have now gone 2-4 against the spread in their last six games.

Atlanta’s O/U record for the season is 42-35, and their games have averaged 238.8 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 221, which is lower than their season average of 235.7.

Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Hawks are 22-27 and are currently in 10th place in the East. On the road, they have a record of 15-23, which is 12th in the East.

For the season, the Hawks have an ATS record of 28-49 and have gone 13-25 ATS on the road. Their average scoring differential on the road is -3.9 PPG.

Overall, Atlanta is 36-41 this season and are in 3rd place in the Southeast Division.

When it comes to scoring, the Hawks are one of the league’s most potent offenses. They are averaging 118.8 points per game, which is 5th in the NBA. However, on the road, they are scoring slightly fewer points at 115.1 points per game (11th).

Atlanta’s offense is built around their three-point shooting, as they are 6th in the league in three-point makes per game at 13.8. Overall, they are shooting 36% from beyond the arc (14th).

In terms of pace, the Hawks are 6th in the NBA at 100 possessions per game. This up-tempo style has helped them become one of the league’s top offensive rebounding teams (2nd).

On defense, the Hawks come into the game ranked 27th in the league in points allowed at 120.0 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 107.7 points per contest (15th). Inside the arc, the Hawks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 56.8% and 38.5% from three-point territory.

Does Denver Have a Shot at a Home Win?

Overall, the Nuggets have a record of 53-24, which is good for 2nd place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 23-6 compared to 30-18 against Western Conference opponents.

At home, the Nuggets are 31-8 this season and are favored by 12.5 points today. In their last two games at home, they have won by an average of 9.2 points per game.

Denver’s ATS record at home is 19-19, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games as the favorite. Overall, their ATS record is 34-41.

Denver’s O/U record for the season is 30-45-2, and their last two games have finished below the betting line. This year, their games have averaged 224 points per game.

In their most recent game, the Nuggets lost to the Clippers by a score of 102-100. The O/U line for that game was 220.5, and Denver was favored by 3.5 points going into the game.

This season, the Nuggets have been one of the most efficient teams in the league, ranking 5th in field goal percentage. However, they have struggled from beyond the arc, ranking 30th in three-point attempts per game.

Denver has been an above-average scoring team this season, averaging 114.3 points per game, which is good for 14th in the NBA. At home, they have been even better, averaging 118.0 points per game.

When it comes to pace, the Nuggets are 28th in the league, averaging just 96.1 possessions per game. Despite their high-scoring offense, they are just 29th in free throw attempts per game.

At present, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 6th, allowing 109.6 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Nuggets are causing 11.8 turnovers per game, ranking 5th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 11th in rejections, averaging 5.5 blocked shots each game.