Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Betting Pick & Prediction 3/11/24

At 9:00 ET, the Raptors will travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets at Ball Arena. Toronto has lost three straight and is 12th in the Eastern Conference, while Denver has won two in a row and is second in the West.

The Nuggets are favored by 13.5 points and are -1055 on the moneyline. The over/under line for the game is 228.5 points. This non-conference matchup can be seen on ALT.

TORONTO RAPTORS VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Raptors +13.5

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 ET on Monday, March 11th.

WHY BET THE TORONTO RAPTORS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 112-109 in favor of the Raptors.
• Our projections have RJ Barrett finishing with RJ Barrett points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists.
• From the field, we have the Raptors finishing with a field goal percentage of 44.6% and knocking down 11 threes.

Will the Raptors Exceed Expectations on the Road?

Toronto is 30-34 ATS this season, including a 17-15 ATS record on the road. In their last game, the Raptors were favored by 2.5 points but lost to the Trail Blazers by a score of 128-118. This was their 4th straight ATS loss on the road.

The Raptors are 11-31 as underdogs this season and are currently 13.5-point underdogs against the Nuggets. As underdogs, they have an ATS record of 21-21 and have gone 4-42 straight-up as the underdog.

So far this season, Toronto has an O/U record of 34-29-1. In their last game vs. the Blazers, the teams combined for 246 points, which was well above the O/U line of 228.5.

In the Eastern Conference, the Raptors are in 12th place with a record of 23-41. Against the West, they are 7-18 compared to 16-23 against the East.

On average, Toronto’s games have finished with 232.3 points this season. Today’s O/U line of 228.5 is slightly lower than their season average of 229.6.

The Raptors are 7th in the NBA in scoring on the road at 117.2 points per game. Overall, they are 17th in scoring at 114.2 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Toronto is 15th in the league at 47%. They are 13th in pace at 99.4 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Raptors are 23rd in the NBA at 35%. They are also 22nd in free throw attempts and 22nd in free throw makes at 16.4 per game. In terms of assists, Toronto is 3rd in the league at 29.2 per game.

So far this season, the Raptors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 46.9% of their games. They have also had two consecutive games with increased scoring. In terms of offensive rebounding, Toronto is 8th in the NBA with 11.2 per game.

Currently, the Raptors’ defense holds the 23rd rank in the NBA, allowing 118.2 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Raptors are forcing 12.8 per game, which is 18th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 20th in blocked shots at 4.9 per game.

Will Denver Live Up to Expectations at Home?

The Nuggets are 40-14 as the favorite this season and have been favored in 54 of their 64 games. As the favorite, they have an average scoring margin of +5.8 points per game.

Denver has an ATS record of 29-33 for the season, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. At home, they are 16-15 ATS and have an average scoring differential of +9.4 PPG.

In their last game, the Nuggets beat the Jazz by a score of 142-121. They were favored by 13 points in that game and have now won two straight games. The O/U line for that game was 227 points.

This season, the Nuggets have an O/U record of 24-38-2, and their games have averaged 225.4 points per game. In their last two games, the O/U has gone over.

On the season, the Nuggets are 44-20, which is good for 2nd place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 25-14 and 6-5 against other teams in the Northwest Division.

This season, the Nuggets have been one of the most efficient teams in the league, ranking 4th in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they have struggled from beyond the arc, shooting just 37% on the season (14th).

At home, Denver is averaging 118.8 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 15th in scoring at 114.9 points per game.

When it comes to pace, the Nuggets are one of the slower teams in the league, ranking 28th at 96.3 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 4th in the NBA at 29.2 per game.

At this time, the Nuggets’ defense is positioned 7th in the NBA, permitting 110.5 points per game. For the season, Denver is ranked 22nd in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 22.4 free-throws per game vs. the Nuggets and have an overall field goal percentage of 46.6%.