Arkansas Razorbacks vs Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Pick & Prediction 3/9/24

Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Razorbacks and Crimson Tide. The game is starting at 12:00 ET on ESPN, and it’s hosted by the Crimson Tide at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, AL. Get ready to place your bets! This Southeastern conference matchup has an over/under of 174 points, and Alabama is favored to win by -14.5 at home vs. Arkansas.

ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS VS ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks +14.5

This game will be played at Coleman Coliseum at 12:00 ET on Saturday, March 9th.

WHY BET THE ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Crimson Tide.
• Even though we have Alabama winning straight-up, we like Arkansas at +14.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 174 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Razorbacks Pull Off a Road Win?

Arkansas will enter the game as 14.5-point underdogs, and they have gone 4-12 this season when considered the underdog. They have gone 2-9 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin on the road is -9.7 points per game. The Razorbacks are coming off a 94-83 win over LSU, and they have gone 2-3 in their last five road games.

For the season, Arkansas has gone 15-15, including a 6-11 record in Southeastern Conference play. They have gone 13-6 at home, and their average scoring margin at home is +2.8 points per game. This season, they have been the underdog in 16 of their 30 games.

Against the spread, Arkansas has gone 12-18 this season. On the road, they are 4-7 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Razorbacks have gone 7-9 vs. the spread this year. In their last 3 road games, Arkansas is 3-0 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Arkansas games is 22-8, and today’s line of 174 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (150.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 185 points, and the over/under record in their games over their last 10 games is 9-1.

In their latest game, Arkansas offense put up 94 points against LSU. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 60.8% and made 5 threes. Coming into the game, the Razorbacks offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 32%. On average, they get up 18.9 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 19.8 made free-throws.

Looking at the Arkansas defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 79.2 points per game (324th). In today’s game vs. Alabama, the Arkansas defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Arkansas made 27 free-throws vs. the Razorbacks.

Can Alabama Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

Alabama will look to get back on track after a two-game losing streak when they host Arkansas. The Crimson Tide have been exceptional at home this season, going 12-2 with an average scoring margin of +22.9 points per game.

Overall, Alabama has a record of 20-10, including an 11-5 mark in Southeastern Conference play. They have been favored in 21 of their 30 games, going 18-3 as the favorite.

Against the spread, Alabama has gone 17-12 this season. At home, their ATS record is 11-3. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Crimson Tide are 8-2 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS record is 7-3 over their last 10 games.

This season, the over/under record for Alabama games is 21-8. The average scoring total in their games this year is 170.2 points compared to an average over/under line of 162. So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 174. In their last three games, the over/under mark is 2-1 with an average of 179 points scored.

In their recent matchup, the Alabama offense ended with 87 points against Florida. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 44.3% and made 5 threes. In terms of three-point shooting, the Crimson Tide offense has been good from outside, hitting 37% of their three-pointers on an average of 30.5 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 47%.

So far, the Crimson Tide’s defense is ranked 332nd in the country at 80.1 points per contest. Against Florida in their most recent game, the Alabama defense gave up a total of 105 points while allowing Florida to hit 46% of their shots.