Texas State Bobcats vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Pick & Prediction 3/7/24

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bobcats versus the Golden Eagles? Tip off is at at 6:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, FL. The odds for this Sun Belt conference game currently have Southern Miss as the -1 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 134.5 points.

TEXAS STATE BOBCATS VS SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Southern Miss Golden Eagles -1

This game will be played at Pensacola Bay Center at 6:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.

WHY BET THE SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-67 in favor of the Golden Eagles.
• Not only will Southern Miss pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 134.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can Texas State Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

Coming into this game, Texas State is 15-17 overall and 6-11 in Sun Belt Conference play. They have won two straight games, including a 73-55 win over Louisiana-Monroe.

So far this season, the Bobcats have been underdogs in 18 of their 32 games, going 4-14 in those contests. On the road, their record is 5-11, and they have gone 2-8 in their last 10 road games.

As the underdog this season, Texas State has gone 6-12 against the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 7-9. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bobcats are just 3-7 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Texas State games is 11-17 and today’s line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (137.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 154 points and the over/under record in their last 10 games is 4-6.

The Texas State offense is coming off a game where they scored 73 points against Louisiana-Monroe. They posted a field goal percentage of 53.1% and connected on 7 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Jordan Mason with 13 points. Josh O’Garro also added 11 points for the Bobcats.

Texas State’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 70.6 points per game. In their previous game vs. Louisiana-Monroe, the Warhawks finished with a field goal percentage of 53% and a total of 55 points vs. Texas State.

Can the Golden Eagles Pull Off a Home Win?

With a record of 16-15, Southern Miss has gone 9-9 in Sun Belt Conference play. They have been the favorite in 13 of their 31 games, going 8-5 in those contests.

At home, the Golden Eagles have gone 9-6 this season, and they are coming off a 77-61 loss to Louisiana-Lafayette. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 8-2.

As the favorite this season, Southern Miss has gone 5-7-1 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark is 12-16-1. At home, the Golden Eagles are 7-7-1 vs. the spread this year. In their last 10 games as the favorite, Southern Miss is 5-4-1 ATS.

Southern Miss games have an over/under record of 14-14-1 this season. Today’s line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (143.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points compared to their season average of 143 points per game.

The Southern Miss offense is coming off a game where they scored 61 points against Louisiana-Lafayette. They posted a field goal percentage of 40% and connected on 4 threes. The top scorer for the Golden Eagles was Victor Iwuakor with 18 points, while Victor Hart also added 16 to the scoreboard.

At this time, the Golden Eagles’ defense is positioned 137th in the country, permitting 70.9 points per game. The Southern Miss defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 77 points and allowed Louisiana-Lafayette to connect on 6 threes.