Massachusetts Minutemen vs Davidson Wildcats Betting Pick & Prediction 3/2/24

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Minutemen versus the Wildcats? Tip off is at at 2:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on USA. The game will be played at John M. Belk Arena in Davidson, NC. Massachusetts is favored by -1 in this Atlantic 10 conference matchup the against Davidson. The over/under for the game is set at 140.5 points.

MASSACHUSETTS MINUTEMEN VS DAVIDSON WILDCATS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Davidson Wildcats +1

This game will be played at John M. Belk Arena at 2:30 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.

WHY BET THE DAVIDSON WILDCATS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Wildcats.
• Not only will Davidson pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Taking a Look at the Minutemen Chances on the Road

Massachusetts enters this game with an 18-10 record, including a 9-7 mark in Atlantic 10 play. The Minutemen have been favored in 23 of their 28 games, going 16-7 in those contests. On the road, they are 5-6 this season, and they have gone 2-1 in their last three away from home.

Most recently, Massachusetts defeated George Washington by a score of 69-57. For the year, the Minutemen have an average scoring margin of +2.6 on the road, compared to +11.1 at home.

As the favorite this season, Massachusetts has gone 13-10 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Minutemen are just 4-6 vs. the spread. On the road, UMass is 7-4 vs. the spread this season and 17-11 overall.

Massachusetts’ over/under record for the season is 14-13-1 and today’s line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (150). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points and their OU record during this stretch is 0-3. So far, 22 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line.

Against George Washington, the Massachusetts had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 78.8 points per game. They scored 69 points and posted a field goal percentage of 51.7% in the game. Leading the team in scoring was Matt Cross with 17 points. Rahsool Diggins also added 13 points for the Minutemen.

Coming into today’s game, the Massachusetts defense is giving up an average of 71.0 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Massachusetts’ defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.3% this season.

Can Davidson Pull Off a Home Win?

Davidson will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak when they take on Massachusetts. The Wildcats are 15-13 overall, including a 7-5 record at home this season. Over their last 10 games at home, they are 5-5.

On the year, Davidson has been the underdog 14 times, going 5-9 in those games. They are 8-4 when favored. Their average scoring margin at home is +5.5 compared to -1.3 on the road.

Davidson has an ATS record of 14-12 this season, including a mark of 5-7 at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wildcats have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

Davidson’s over/under record this season is 11-15 and the average scoring total in their games is 136.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (138) and their average scoring total in their last three games is 131 points.

In their previous game, the Wildcats’ offense finished with 66 points, which is right in line with their current average of 70.8 points per contest. Connor Kochera was the leading scorer for the Wildcats, putting up 18 points. In addition, Reed Bailey contributed 12 points.

So far, the Wildcats’ defense is ranked 50th in the country at 67.0 points per contest. The Davidson defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 80 points and allowed Dayton to connect on 12 threes.