Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick & Prediction 2/13/24

At 8:00 ET, the Miami Heat will travel to Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks are currently favored by 8 points and have a moneyline of -335. Miami is 8th in the Eastern Conference and has a record of 28-25, while the Bucks are 3rd in the East and have won 2 straight.

This Eastern Conference matchup will be televised on BSW and has an over/under line of 225.5. The Heat are +265 on the moneyline and are 8th in the East, while the Bucks are 35-19 and 2nd in the Central Division. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

MIAMI HEAT VS MILWAUKEE BUCKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -8

This game will be played at Fiserv Forum at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, February 13th.

WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BUCKS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 125-97 in favor of the Bucks.
• Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with Giannis Antetokounmpo points, 12 rebounds and 6 assists.
• From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.9% and knocking down 15 threes.

Can Miami Grab a Win on the Road?

Miami’s O/U record for the season is now 21-32 after their last two games have gone under the line. On average, their games have finished with 221.1 points, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 225.5.

In the Eastern Conference, Miami is currently in 8th place with a record of 28-25. Against other teams in the East, they are 20-16 and 11-2 against division opponents.

On the road, the Heat are 13-12 straight up and 11-11 against the spread. Their ATS record for the season is 23-27, and they have covered the spread in their last three road games.

In their most recent game, the Heat lost to the Celtics by a score of 110-106. They were 8-point underdogs going into the game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 224 points.

As underdogs this season, Miami has a record of 6-15 and is currently the underdog by 8 points against the Bucks. Their ATS record as the underdog is 9-12, and they have lost six straight games as the underdog.

Heading into their game against the Bucks, the Heat are 27th in the league in scoring at 110.4 points per game. On the road, Miami is averaging 107.4 points per game.

So far, the Heat have outscored the NBA average in just 34% of their games. They have also had a tendency to struggle offensively, ranking 27th in field goal percentage and 28th in pace.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Miami is 11th in the league in three-point percentage but just 18th in three-point attempts. Overall, the Heat are 19th in true shooting percentage.

Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 4th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.8 points per game. Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.5% and 36.9% from three-point territory.

Will Milwaukee Find a Way to Win at Home?

The Bucks have an O/U record of 29-25 this season, and the under has hit in two straight games. On average, their games have finished with 241.6 points, which is higher than today’s line of 225.5.

Milwaukee’s ATS record for the season is 21-33, and they have covered the spread in two straight games. Today, they are favored by 8 points and have a 20-28 ATS record as the favorite.

In their last game, the Bucks defeated the Nuggets by a score of 112-95. The O/U line for that game was 230 points, and Milwaukee covered the spread as 1-point favorites.

The Bucks are currently 3rd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 35-19. In the Central Division, they are in 2nd place. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 25-12 and 10-7 in non-conference games.

On the season, the Bucks have won two straight games and are 12-17 ATS at home. Their straight-up home record is 23-6, and they have an average scoring differential of +6.8 points per game.

At home, the Bucks have been the NBA’s second-highest scoring team at 124.2 points per game. Overall, they are averaging 122.7 points per game, which is also second in the league. In terms of scoring, the Bucks have outscored the NBA average in 72.2% of their games this season.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Bucks are 5th in the NBA in made threes per game at 14.3. They are also 8th in three-point attempts at 37.8 per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, the Bucks are 4th in the league at 49%.

On average, the Bucks are getting to the free-throw line 25.9 times per game, which is 2nd in the NBA. In terms of pace, they are 4th in the league at 101.4 possessions per game. Milwaukee is also one of the top teams in terms of assists, ranking 13th at 26.8 per game.

Currently, the Bucks’ defense holds the 23rd rank in the NBA, allowing 118.9 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Bucks are forcing 12.4 per game, which is 10th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 17th in blocked shots at 5.2 per game.