Alabama State Hornets vs Southern Jaguars Betting Pick & Prediction 2/12/24

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Hornets versus the Jaguars? Tip off is at at 6:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on None. The game will be played at F. G. Clark Activity Center in Baton Rouge, LA. The odds for this Southwestern Athletic conference game currently have Southern as the -4.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 133.5 points.

ALABAMA STATE HORNETS VS SOUTHERN JAGUARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Southern Jaguars -4.5

This game will be played at F. G. Clark Activity Center at 6:30 ET on Monday, February 12th.

WHY BET THE SOUTHERN JAGUARS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Jaguars.
• Not only will Southern pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 133.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Will the Hornets Find a Way to Win in Baton Rouge?

Alabama State is coming off a 74-68 loss to Grambling State, and the Hornets are 11-12 overall and 5-4 in the Southwestern Athletic Conference. On the road, they are 5-9 this season, and their average scoring margin is -6.4 points per game.

So far this season, Alabama State has been the underdog in 13 of its 23 games, and the Hornets have a record of 2-11 in those games. Their average scoring margin on the road is -6.4, and their record over their last 10 road games is 5-5.

As the underdog, Alabama State has been a solid bet this season with a 9-4 record vs. the spread. Their road ATS mark is an impressive 12-2 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 6-4.

Alabama State has an over/under record of 8-11 this season. The average scoring total in their games is 139.5 points, which is 5.8 points higher than the average over/under line of 145.3. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 134 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 2-1.

Coming off their recent game, the Alabama State offense tallied 68 points in a matchup against Grambling State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 38.5%, and they made 6 threes. Offensively, the Hornets have a season long field goal percentage of 38%, which is 403rd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 392nd in percentage and 248th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Alabama State defense is giving up an average of 69.4 points per contest. So far, the Alabama State defense is giving up an average of 7.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.3 times per game (527th).

Can the Jaguars Offense Score Enough at Home?

As the Southern Jaguars get set to host the Alabama State Hornets, they will look to extend their home winning streak to seven games. Southern has been dominant at home this season, going 6-0 with an average scoring margin of +16.3 points per game.

Overall, the Jaguars are 14-9 on the season and have won four straight games. In Southwestern Athletic Conference play, Southern is 7-2, and they are 7-2 when favored this year.

At home this season, Southern has gone 5-1 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Jaguars have a mark of 6-4 vs. the spread. In their last three home games, they are 2-1 ATS.

This season, the over/under record in Southern games is 7-12 and the average scoring total in their games is 144.3 points. So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 133.5 points. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 0-2.

Against Alabama A&M, the Southern had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 74.5 points per game. They scored 69 points and posted a field goal percentage of 33.3% in the game. The team’s top scorer is Tai’reon Joseph, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 20.5, while Brandon Davis also carries a PPG average of 11.8 into the game.

In terms of defense, Southern is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 70.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.6 threes per game vs. Alabama State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 26.3%.