Dartmouth Big Green vs Harvard Crimson Betting Pick & Prediction 2/10/24

The Big Green and Crimson are set to face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Crimson will host the game at Lavietes Pavilion in Cambridge, MA. This Ivy League conference matchup has an over/under of 131.5 points, and Harvard is favored to win by -10.5 at home vs. Dartmouth.

DARTMOUTH BIG GREEN VS HARVARD CRIMSON BETTING PICK

The Pick: Dartmouth Big Green +10.5

This game will be played at Lavietes Pavilion at 2:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.

WHY BET THE DARTMOUTH BIG GREEN:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Crimson.
• Even though we have Harvard winning straight-up, we like Dartmouth at +10.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 131.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Are the Big Green Ready for a Win at Cambridge?

As Dartmouth heads into their 20th game of the season, they are 5-14 overall and have lost two games in a row. Their record in Ivy League play is 1-5 compared to their non-conference record of 4-9.

On the road this season, the Big Green have gone 0-9, and their average scoring margin is -17.1 points per game. They have also lost nine straight games away from home.

As the underdog this season, Dartmouth has gone just 5-10 against the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-7 and they have gone 0-3 vs. the spread in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Big Green are just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 131.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Dartmouth games this season (138.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 127 points and their over/under record this season is 2-15.

In their recent matchup, the Dartmouth offense ended with 56 points against Columbia. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 39.2% and made 3 threes. Coming into the game, the Big Green offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 28%. On average, they get up 24.1 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 10.7 made free-throws.

At present, the Big Green’s defense is nationally ranked 105th, allowing 69.2 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.2 threes per game vs. Harvard. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.6%.

Can the Crimson Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Harvard is 6-1 as the favorite this season, and they are 6-4 at home. For the year, they are 11-8, and they have gone 2-4 in Ivy League play.

At home, the Crimson are averaging +0.8 points per game, and they are 6-4 in their last ten games at Lavietes Pavilion.

Harvard has struggled against the spread this season, posting a mark of 6-12. Their ATS record is even worse at home, where they have gone just 2-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Crimson have gone just 3-7 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 131.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Harvard’s games this year (143.6). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points compared to their season average of 144.1 points per game.

Coming off their recent game, the Harvard offense tallied 76 points in a matchup against Cornell. Their field goal percentage for the game was 52.6%, and they made 5 threes. The top scorer for the Crimson was Malik Mack with 19 points, while Thomas Batties II also chipped in with 10 points.

On the defensive side, Harvard is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 71.8 points per game. So far, the Harvard defense is giving up an average of 9.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.3 times per game (515th).