Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State Spartans Betting Pick & Prediction 1/30/24

Planning on watching today’s Wolverines and Spartans game? Catch the action at Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI, as the Spartans hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on PEAC. The over/under for this game is set at 145.5 points, and Michigan State is favored by -12 vs. Michigan in a Big Ten conference matchup.

MICHIGAN WOLVERINES VS MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Michigan Wolverines +12

This game will be played at Breslin Center at 9:00 ET on Tuesday, January 30th.

WHY BET THE MICHIGAN WOLVERINES:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Spartans.
• Even though we have Michigan State winning straight-up, we like Michigan at +12.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will Michigan Shock Everyone at Breslin Center?

Michigan enters this game as a 12-point underdog, and they have gone 2-6 as the underdog this season. Their overall record is 7-13, and they have lost three straight games. In Big Ten play, the Wolverines are just 2-7, and their road record is 2-4.

Over their last 10 games on the road, Michigan has gone just 3-7, and they are coming off an 88-78 loss to Iowa. So far, the Wolverines have gone 4-7 when they are the underdog.

Michigan has struggled against the spread this season, posting a 5-14 record. Their ATS mark as the underdog is just 2-6, and they are 0-3 vs. the spread in their last three games as the underdog. On the road, the Wolverines are 2-4 ATS this year and just 1-4 vs. the spread in their last five road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Michigan is 4-6 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Michigan games is 13-6. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 150.6 and their games have averaged 157.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average scoring total in their games this year. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 3-0 and their games have averaged 163 points in that span.

In their recent game, the Wolverines’ offense concluded with 78 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 78.7 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring was Terrance Williams II with 16 points. Olivier Nkamhoua also added 13 points for the Wolverines.

At this time, the Wolverines’ defense is positioned 294th in the country, permitting 79.2 points per game. The Michigan defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 88 points and allowed Iowa to connect on 9 threes.

Can the Spartans Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

Michigan State is a 12-point favorite at home today against Michigan. The Spartans have gone 11-4 at home this season, and they have won their last seven games at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +15.4 points per game.

Overall, Michigan State is 12-8 this season, and they have gone 4-5 in Big Ten play. Their record against the spread this season is 10-4 when they are favored, and they have been favored in 14 of their 20 games.

Michigan State has an ATS record of 11-9 this season. Their home ATS mark is 9-6 and they are 2-3 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Spartans have gone 6-4 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS record is 7-3 over their last 10 games.

Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is slightly higher than the average over/under line in Michigan State’s games this season (141.9). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points, which is lower than the season-long average of 141.7 points per game.

Compared to their season average of 75.7 points per game, Michigan State struggled in their previous game. Against Wisconsin, the Spartans scored 66 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 41.7%. Tyson Walker is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 19.3 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, A.J Hoggard brings a PPG average of 11.6 into the game.

At present, the Spartans’ defense is nationally ranked 49th, allowing 66.0 points per game. The Michigan State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 81 points and allowed Wisconsin to connect on 9 threes.