Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 1/25/24

At 7:30 ET on TNT, the Celtics (-281) will visit the Heat (+225) in a game with an over/under of 225 points. Boston is 34-10 overall and 1st in the Eastern Conference, while Miami is 24-20 and 6th in the East.

Boston is favored by 7 points, and they have won two straight games. Miami is on a four-game losing streak, and they are 1st in the Southeast Division.

BOSTON CELTICS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat +7

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Thursday, January 25th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-110 in favor of the Celtics.
• Our projections have Jayson Tatum finishing with Jayson Tatum points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists.
• From the field, we have the Celtics finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.6% and knocking down 18 threes.

Do the Celtics Stand a Chance in Miami?

The Celtics are currently favored by 7 points on the road against the Heat. This season, Boston has been favored in 41 of their 44 games and has a record of 32-9 as the favorite.

Boston is 21-21 against the spread this season, going 9-13 ATS on the road and 12-8 ATS at home. Their straight-up road record is 14-9, and they have won three straight games on the road.

In their last game, the Celtics defeated the Mavericks by a score of 119-110. The O/U line for that game was 240.5, and Boston covered the spread as 2.5-point favorites.

This season, the Celtics have an O/U record of 22-22, and their games have averaged 230.9 points per game. The team’s last five games have all finished below the O/U line.

In the Eastern Conference, the Celtics are in first place with a record of 34-10. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 23-6 compared to 11-4 against the West.

Heading into their matchup with the Heat, the Celtics are one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 120.3 points per game (4th). However, they have scored less than their average in each of their last five games.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Boston leads the NBA in both attempts (42.8 per game) and makes (16.2 per game). Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc (6th).

On the road, the Celtics are averaging 117.9 points per game compared to 122.9 at home. So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 70.5% of their games.

Coming into today’s game, the Celtics’ defense is giving up an average of 110.6 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Celtics’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 52.1% and allowing 34.8% from beyond the arc.

Can the Heat Pull the Upset at Home?

Miami is currently 19-23 against the spread this season, and they have failed to cover in four straight games. At home, they are 8-13 ATS, and their average scoring margin ATS at home is +0.6.

In terms of their O/U record, Miami is 18-26 this season. The team has hit the under in seven straight games, and today’s O/U line is set at 225 points.

In their last game, the Heat were favored by 11 points but lost to the Grizzlies by a score of 105-96. The O/U line for that game was 214.5 points.

Overall, Miami is 24-20 this season, which is good for 6th place in the Eastern Conference. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 18-13 and 9-2 against division opponents.

When looking at their ATS record, Miami is 12-9 as the underdog this season. As the underdog, they have failed to cover in two straight games.

On average, Miami’s games have finished with 221.1 points per game, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 225. In their last game, the Heat and Grizzlies combined for just 201 points.

At home, the Heat are averaging 114.2 points per game, which ranks 21st in the NBA. Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 110.5 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the league.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 7th in the NBA with a 37% success rate. They are making an average of 12.4 threes per game, which is 16th in the league. In terms of two-point shooting, Miami is 27th in the NBA at 51%.

So far this season, the Heat have outscored the league average in just 36.4% of their games. In terms of assists, Miami is 19th in the NBA with an average of 25.6 per game. When it comes to free throws, they are 6th in the league at 19.4 made per game.

On defense, the Heat come into the game ranked 4th in the league in points allowed at 110.5 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 106.3 points per contest (1st). In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Heat defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.2% while allowing 36.6% from downtown.