Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Betting Pick & Prediction 1/23/24

The Falcons and Runnin’ Rebels are set to face off at 11:00 ET on CBSS. The Runnin’ Rebels will host the game at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV. The odds for this Mountain West conference game currently have the Runnin’ Rebels as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 133.5 points.

AIR FORCE FALCONS VS UNLV RUNNIN’ REBELS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Air Force Falcons +12.5

This game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center at 11:00 ET on Tuesday, January 23rd.

WHY BET THE AIR FORCE FALCONS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Runnin’ Rebels.
• Even though we have UNLV winning straight-up, we like Air Force at +12.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 133.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can the Falcons Offense Score Enough in Las Vegas?

After losing their last game to New Mexico by a score of 85-66, Air Force’s losing streak has now reached seven games. Their record for the season stands at 7-10, and they are 0-4 in Mountain West Conference play.

So far, the Falcons have been an underdog in six of their 17 games, and their record in those contests is 1-5. On the road, Air Force is 3-2 this season, and their average scoring margin in away games is +3.4 points per game.

Against the spread, Air Force has a 5-11 record this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 3-2, and over their last 10 road games, they are 6-4 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Falcons are 2-4 vs. the spread this year and 5-5 in their last 10 games as the dog.

So far this season, the over/under record for Air Force games is 10-6. The average scoring total in their games this season is 135.4 points, and today’s over/under line of 133.5 is lower than that average. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 144 points.

In their latest game, Air Force offense put up 66 points against New Mexico. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 47.2% and made 7 threes. Beau Becker led the team in scoring, putting up 23 points. Additionally, Rytis Petraitis contributed 18 points for the Falcons.

Currently, the Falcons’ defense holds the 93rd rank in the nation, allowing 68.7 points per game. In their previous game vs. New Mexico, the Lobos finished with a field goal percentage of 47% and a total of 85 points vs. Air Force.

Will the Runnin’ Rebels Defense Show Up at Home?

After a tough 78-75 loss to Colorado State, UNLV is 9-8 overall and 2-3 in Mountain West action. The Runnin’ Rebels have gone 5-5 at home this season and are 4-2 when favored.

For the season, UNLV has an average scoring margin of +3.3 points per game at home, and over their last 10 games at home, they are 6-4. On the year, they have gone 2-2 on the road.

As the favored team, UNLV has gone 3-3 against the spread this season. At home, their ATS mark is 6-4 and over their last three home games, they are 2-0 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Rebels are 5-5 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for UNLV is 9-5 and today’s line of 133.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (144.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 152 points and the OU record in those games is 2-1.

The Runnin’ Rebels’ offense wrapped up their last game with 75 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 76.6 points per contest. In terms of offense, the Runnin’ Rebels have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 100th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 202nd in percentage and 173rd in three-pointers made.

At present, the Runnin’ Rebels’ defense is nationally ranked 118th, allowing 70.1 points per game. Against Colorado State in their most recent game, the UNLV defense gave up a total of 78 points while allowing Colorado State to hit 49% of their shots.