Dallas Stars vs New York Islanders Betting Pick & Prediction 1/21/24
Looking to win big? The Stars and Islanders face off at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The Islanders are hosting the game at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY. The Stars are the favorites in this non-conference matchup against Islanders. The over/under for the game is set at 6 goals.
DALLAS STARS VS NEW YORK ISLANDERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Islanders +1.5
This game will be played at UBS Arena at 7:30 ET on Sunday, January 21st.
WHY BET THE NEW YORK ISLANDERS:
- Despite being 1.5 goal underdogs, we predict the Islanders to come out on top with a final score of 4-3.
- We like the Islanders on the moneyline (-106)
- The Islanders are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
Can the Stars Offense Score Enough in Elmont?
So far this season, the Stars have gone 27-13-5 overall, putting them in 3rd place in the Central Division and 4th in the Western Conference. On the road, Dallas has a record of 13-5-3.
Over their last ten games, the Stars have gone 5-5, and they are 3-2 in their last five games. In games where they have been favored, Dallas has gone 25-12-5 this season.
On the season, Dallas has a puck line record of 17-28, including going 14-28 as the favorite. They have 14 wins by multiple goals and have gone 5-5 against the puck line in their last ten games.
So far, the Stars have an average scoring margin of +.7 goals per game, and their average scoring margin on the road is also +.7 goals per game. In their last ten road games, Dallas has gone 4-6 against the puck line.
This season, Dallas’ games are averaging 6.8 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.2. The Stars currently have an over/under record of 28-16-1.
When looking at their past three road matchups, Dallas has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
On the offensive side, the Stars are scoring an 3.7 goals per game this season, ranking 3rd in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 19th in the league. The Stars went 15-8 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 12-5.
Dallas’ leading goal scorer is Roope Hintz. So far this season, he has 20 goals, placing him 26th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Hintz has 22 assists this season.
New York defense takes on the Stars ranked 2nd in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 34.8 shots per game against New York. They also are 5th in shutouts, with 4 shutouts.
Entering the game, goalie Jake Oettinger has started 24 games this season. His current record stands at 13-9, and his save percentage is 0.791%.
Can the New York Offense Score Enough at Home?
At home this season, the Islanders have gone 11-5-6, and they have lost four straight games overall. In the Eastern Conference standings, New York is in 11th place, and within the Metropolitan Division, they are in 6th place. So far this year, the Islanders have gone 19-16-11.
As the underdog, New York has gone 9-9-7, and they have lost two straight games when they have been the underdog. Over their last ten games, the Islanders have gone just 2-8, and they have gone 1-4 in their last five games.
At home this season, the Islanders have gone just 9-13 vs. the puck line and have an average scoring margin of -.3 goals per game. So far, they have been the underdog in 25 of their games, and their puck line record as the underdog is 17-8.
Overall, the team’s puck line record is 22-23, and they have lost their last four games vs. the puck line. In their last ten games at home, the Islanders have gone 7-3 vs. the puck line.
For the season, New York’s games have finished with an average of 6.4 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6. Overall, the Islanders have an over/under record of 26-16-3.
In their last three road games, Dallas has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
When looking at their offense, the Islanders have an average of 2.9 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 23rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 22nd in the league. New York’s offense is currently ranked 19th in power play goals. When it comes to shorthanded goals, they are 5th in the league.
New York will be looking for a good game from Brock Nelson who leads the team in scoring with 20 goals, ranking 24th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Nelson has 16 assists this season.
In terms of defense, the Islanders head into the game ranked 2nd in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 34.8 shots per game against New York. So far, they are 5th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.
Goalie Ilya Sorokin comes into the game having made 32 starts this season. So far, his record is 13-11 and he has a save percentage of 1.0%.