Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick & Prediction 1/20/24

At 8:00 ET, the Minnesota Timberwolves will host the Oklahoma City Thunder in a Western Northwest division matchup. The Timberwolves (-149) are currently favored by 3 and have won four straight games. The over/under line for this game is 230.5.

Oklahoma City is 2nd in the West and Northwest division with a record of 28-13. The Thunder (+126) are 2nd in the West and have a spread of +3. The Timberwolves are 1st in the West and Northwest division with a record of 30-11.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder +3

This game will be played at Target Center at 8:00 ET on Saturday, January 20th.

WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 119-117 in favor of the Timberwolves.
• Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with Anthony Edwards points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
• From the field, we have the Timberwolves finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.9% and knocking down 13 threes.

No Pressure for Oklahoma City as Away Dogs

Oklahoma City is 24-17 on the over/under this season, and they have hit the over in their last two games. This year, their games have averaged 236.3 points per game compared to today’s O/U line of 230.5.

The Thunder’s ATS record for the season is 28-13, and they have covered the spread in their last two games as the underdog. On the road, their ATS record is 12-8.

Oklahoma City’s last game finished with a combined score of 263 points, and they beat the Jazz by a score of 134-129. The O/U line for that game was 246.

In the Western Conference standings, the Thunder are currently in 2nd place with a record of 28-13. In non-conference games, they are 12-3 and 16-5 at home compared to 12-8 on the road.

For the season, Oklahoma City is 8-7 as the underdog and 10-5 ATS as the underdog. As the underdog, they have an average scoring margin of +1.3 points per game.

When it comes to scoring, the Thunder are one of the top teams in the NBA, averaging 122.2 points per game (3rd). In fact, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 75.6% of their games this season. On the road, they are averaging 119.8 points per game (4th).

One of the keys to the Thunder’s offensive success has been their ability to shoot the ball efficiently. They are currently 2nd in field goal percentage (50%) and lead the league in true shooting percentage. In terms of pace, they are 10th in the NBA.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Thunder are 11th in made threes per game (13.2) and have a three-point shooting percentage of 39% (2nd). In terms of two-point shooting, they are 3rd in the NBA with a 57% shooting percentage.

Currently, the Thunder’s defense holds the 14th rank in the NBA, allowing 114.1 points per game. Inside the arc, the Thunder defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 51.5% and 36.1% from three-point territory.

Can the Timberwolves Deliver Being Favored at Home?

Minnesota is currently 1st in the Western Conference with a record of 30-11. In the West, they are 21-6 against other teams and 5-1 against division opponents.

The Timberwolves have won four straight games and are 3-point favorites today. As the favorite, they have a record of 26-6 and have gone 16-15 against the spread as the favorite.

In their last game, Minnesota defeated the Grizzlies by a score of 118-103. The O/U line for that game was 215, and the Timberwolves were favored by 12 points.

This season, Minnesota has an O/U record of 22-19, and the over has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have seen 220.9 points scored, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 230.5.

Overall, Minnesota has an ATS record of 21-19, going 11-8 ATS at home. They have covered the spread in three straight home games.

At home, the Timberwolves are averaging 112.8 points per game, which is 24th in the league. Overall, they are 21st in scoring at 113.5 points per game. In terms of pace, Minnesota ranks 24th in the NBA at 97.9 possessions per game.

So far this season, the Timberwolves have made 49% of their shots (6th) and are 6th in true shooting percentage. From beyond the arc, they are 3rd in three-point shooting percentage at 38%. However, Minnesota is just 26th in three-point attempts.

When it comes to free throws, the Timberwolves are 9th in attempts and 11th in makes at 18.8 per game. In terms of offensive rebounding, Minnesota is 27th in the NBA. In terms of assists, they are 15th with an average of 26.3 per game.

Currently, the Timberwolves’ defense holds the 1st rank in the NBA, allowing 107.4 points per game. Opponents are hitting 50.2% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.3% of their three-point attempts.