Purdue Boilermakers vs Indiana Hoosiers Betting Pick & Prediction 1/16/24

Looking to win big? The Boilermakers and Hoosiers face off at 7:00 ET on PEAC. The Hoosiers are hosting the game at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall in Bloomington, IN. The Boilermakers come into this Big Ten conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 151.5 points.

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS INDIANA HOOSIERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Indiana Hoosiers +9.5

This game will be played at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, January 16th.

WHY BET THE INDIANA HOOSIERS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Hoosiers.
• Not only will Indiana pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +9.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Does Purdue Have What it Takes to Win as Road Favorites?

After a win over Penn State, Purdue is 15-2 on the season and 4-2 in Big Ten play. They have been dominant at home, going 12-0 with an average scoring margin of +21.3 points per game.

On the road, the Boilermakers are 3-2 this season, averaging a scoring margin of +1.4 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 5-5.

As the favorite, Purdue has gone just 8-6-2 vs. the spread this season and is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as the favorite. On the road, the Boilermakers have an ATS mark of 2-2-1 this year and are just 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.

This season, the over/under record for Purdue games is 12-5, and their games have averaged 154.5 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (148), and so far, 10 of their games have had a lower scoring total than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0, and the average scoring total in those games is 164 points.

The Purdue offense is coming off a game in which they scored 95 points vs. Penn State. Overall their field goal percentage was 58.2% while connecting on 11 threes. On the offensive front, the Boilermakers have a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, ranking 39th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 39th in terms of percentage and 63rd in three-pointers made.

The Boilermakers’ defense is presently ranked 115th nationally, allowing an average of 69.5 points per contest. The Purdue defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 78 points and allowed Penn State to connect on 11 threes.

Is A Home Victory Likely for Underdog Indiana?

Indiana is 10-2 at home this season, and they have won their last five games at home. For the season, their average scoring margin at home is +5.4 points per game.

As an underdog, the Hoosiers are 2-5 this season, and they are 2-3 on the road.

Against the spread, Indiana is 8-8-1 this season. At home, their ATS record is 7-5 and they are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 home games.

This season, Indiana’s over/under record sits at 8-9, and today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (144.5). So far, 11 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. The average scoring total in their last three games is 131 points, and over their last five games, their over/under record is 2-3.

In their recent game, the Hoosiers’ offense concluded with 74 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 74.4 points per contest. Leading Indiana in scoring vs. Minnesota was Mackenzie Mgbako with his 19 points. Kel’el Ware also added 17 points for the Hoosiers.

On defense, Indiana is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 72.5 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Indiana’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.3% this season.