Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Pick & Prediction 1/15/24
At 6:00 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-343) will take on the Memphis Grizzlies (+267) in a Western Conference matchup. The Warriors are favored by 8 and have an 18-21 record, while the Grizzlies are 14-25 and have lost two straight.
This game will be played at FedExForum in Memphis and can be seen on TNT. The over/under line for this game is 226.5 points.
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +8
This game will be played at FedExForum at 6:00 ET on Monday, January 15th.
WHY BET THE MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-110 in favor of the Warriors.
- Our projections have Stephen Curry finishing with Stephen Curry points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Warriors finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.7% and knocking down 14 threes.
Can the Warriors Lock in a Road Win?
The Warriors have an O/U record of 23-15-1 this season, and the over has hit in each of their last four games. Today’s O/U line of 226.5 is lower than their season average of 231.
Golden State’s last game vs. the Bucks had a combined score of 247 points, easily surpassing the O/U line of 241.5. The Warriors also covered the spread, losing by a score of 129-118 as 13.5-point underdogs.
This season, the average combined scoring total in Warriors games is 235.7 points. In 28 of their 39 games, the O/U line has been higher than 226.5.
The Warriors are 18-20 against the spread this season, including a mark of 11-6 on the road. They have covered the spread in their last two games and are 7-15 ATS as the favorite.
After the loss to the Bucks, the Warriors are now 12th in the Western Conference with an 18-21 record. In non-conference games, they are 7-5 compared to 11-16 against Western Conference opponents.
On offense, the Warriors are 9th in the NBA in scoring, averaging 117.4 points per game. However, they have actually been better on the road, where they are 5th in the league at 119.6 points per game.
Golden State has been one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, making 14.8 threes per game (4th). They are also 4th in three-point attempts at 40.1 per game. Overall, the Warriors are 13th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%.
When it comes to two-point shooting, Golden State is 23rd in the NBA at 46%. They are also 15th in free throw shooting, making an average of 18.4 free throws per game.
Currently, the Warriors’ defense holds the 22nd rank in the NBA, allowing 118.2 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Warriors are causing 13.8 turnovers per game, ranking 22nd in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 29th in rejections, averaging 3.6 blocked shots each game.
Do the Grizzlies Stand a Chance at Home?
Today’s O/U line of 226.5 is higher than 24 of Memphis’ games this season. On average, their games have finished with 221.4 points.
The Grizzlies are 8-18 as underdogs this season and have failed to cover the spread in their last two games as the underdog. As the underdog, they are 11-15 ATS.
In their last game against the Knicks, Memphis lost 106-94. The Grizzlies were 10.5-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 219 points.
Memphis is 4-14 against the spread at home and has an average scoring margin of -7.9 points per game. Their ATS losing streak at home is at five games.
Overall, the Grizzlies are 14-25 this season, which has them in 13th place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 3-5 compared to 11-20 against the West.
This season, the Grizzlies have struggled to score at home, averaging just 104.6 points per game, which is last in the NBA. Overall, Memphis is 29th in scoring at 108.1 points per game.
When it comes to pace, the Grizzlies are 13th in the league, averaging 99.3 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Memphis is shooting 44% from the field, which is 29th in the NBA.
One area where the Grizzlies have been successful is from three-point range. They are 9th in the league in three-point makes at 13.3 per game. However, Memphis is last in three-point shooting percentage at just 33%.
The Grizzlies’ defense is presently ranked 14th in the league, allowing an average of 113.4 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Grizzlies are forcing 13.8 per game, which is 21st in the league. They also come into the game sitting 5th in blocked shots at 6.2 per game.