Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs Montana Grizzlies Betting Pick & Prediction 1/13/24

Looking to win big? The Lumberjacks and Grizzlies face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Grizzlies are hosting the game at Dahlberg Arena in Missoula, MT. The over/under for this game is set at 145.5 points, and the Grizzlies are the home favorites against the Lumberjacks in a Big Sky conference matchup.

NORTHERN ARIZONA LUMBERJACKS VS MONTANA GRIZZLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +13

This game will be played at Dahlberg Arena at 9:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.

WHY BET THE NORTHERN ARIZONA LUMBERJACKS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Grizzlies.
• Even though we have Montana winning straight-up, we like Northern Arizona at +13.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Is a Road Win Possible for Northern Arizona?

After a 79-50 loss to Montana State, Northern Arizona is now 7-9 overall and 0-2 in Big Sky play. They are 4-9 on the road this season, compared to 3-0 at home.

On the season, the Lumberjacks have been the underdog in 11 of their 16 games, going 2-9 in those contests. They have lost four straight on the road, and their average scoring differential away from home is -15.6.

As the underdog this season, Northern Arizona has gone 4-7 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 5-8. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Lumberjacks are 4-6 and they have gone 0-3 ATS in their last 3 road games.

Today’s over/under line of 145.5 for Northern Arizona’s game against Montana is right in line with their season average of 145.4. So far, their over/under record is 6-10. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 136 points, which is lower than their season average of 142.4. Currently, their over/under record over their last three games is 1-2.

In their latest game, Northern Arizona offense put up 50 points against Montana State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 29.4% and made 4 threes. The team’s top scorer is Trenton McLaughlin, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 15.1, while Oakland Fort also maintains a PPG average of 9.4 leading up to the game.

Coming into the game, Northern Arizona will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 76.8 points per game (275th). So far, the Northern Arizona defense is giving up an average of 7.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 13.2 times per game (654th).

Will the Grizzlies Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Montana enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in five of their six games this season. They have gone 5-1 as the favorite, compared to 2-4 when they have been the underdog.

At home, the Grizzlies have gone 3-1 this season, and they have won their last two games at home. For the season, they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.

When looking at Montana’s ATS record this season, they have gone 9-3. At home, they are 3-1 vs. the spread and have gone 4-3 in their last 10 home games. As the favorite, the Grizzlies have gone 7-3 vs. the spread in their last 10 games.

Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Montana’s games this season (139.9). So far, eight of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 172 points.

Montana’s offense had a good outing, putting up 82 points against South Dakota. They achieved a 52.5% field goal percentage and went 7/13 from the free-throw line. Dischon Thomas was the leading scorer for the Grizzlies, putting up 19 points. In addition, Josh Vazquez contributed 17 points.

In terms of defense, Montana is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 73.1 points per game. In their previous game vs. South Dakota, the Coyotes finished with a field goal percentage of 52% and a total of 63 points vs. Montana.