Vanderbilt Commodores vs Ole Miss Rebels Betting Pick & Prediction 1/13/24

Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Commodores and Rebels. The game is starting at 1:00 ET on SECN, and it’s hosted by the Rebels at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss in Oxford, MS. Get ready to place your bets! The odds for this Southeastern conference game currently have the Rebels as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 144.5 points.

VANDERBILT COMMODORES VS OLE MISS REBELS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores +10

This game will be played at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss at 1:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.

WHY BET THE VANDERBILT COMMODORES:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Rebels.
• Even though we have Ole Miss winning straight-up, we like Vanderbilt at +10.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Do the Commodores Have What it Takes in Oxford?

Through 15 games, Vanderbilt has gone just 5-10 overall, including a 0-2 mark in Southeastern Conference play. The Commodores have lost two straight games and enter tonight’s matchup as 10-point underdogs. On the road this season, Vanderbilt is 0-3, with an average scoring margin of -8.3 points per game.

Coming off a 77-69 loss to LSU, the Commodores have gone 4-6 in their last 10 road games. For the season, they are 0-7 when listed as the underdog. So far, Vanderbilt has gone 5-8 in non-conference play, compared to 5-7 at home.

As the underdog this season, Vanderbilt has a record of 4-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Commodores have gone 5-5 ATS. On the road this year, Vanderbilt has an ATS mark of 2-1 and over their last three road games, they are 2-1 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Vanderbilt games is 5-10 and today’s line of 144.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (142.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points and during their last 10 games, their OU record is 3-7.

In their recent matchup, the Vanderbilt offense ended with 69 points against LSU. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 44.3% and made 7 threes. One area that the Vanderbilt offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 157th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 40%.

Coming into today’s game, the Vanderbilt defense is giving up an average of 71.9 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Ole Miss, the Vanderbilt defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Vanderbilt made 20 free-throws vs. the Commodores.

Can the Rebels Deliver Being Favored at Home?

So far this season, Ole Miss has been nearly perfect, going 14-1 overall and 1-1 in Southeastern Conference play. The Rebels have been especially dominant at home, where they are 11-0 and have won 11 straight games.

For the year, Ole Miss has been favored in 12 of its 15 games, going 12-0 in those matchups. The Rebels’ average scoring margin at home is +11.2 points per game compared to -1.5 points per game on the road.

Against the spread, Ole Miss has gone 8-7 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 6-5. As the favorite, the Rebels have a 6-6 record vs. the spread. Over their last three home games, Ole Miss is 3-0 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for Ole Miss games is 10-5. Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (140.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 171 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 3-0.

The Ole Miss offense is coming off a game where they scored 103 points against Florida. They posted a field goal percentage of 59.1% and connected on 8 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Matthew Murrell, who holds an average of 16.9 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Allen Flanigan is averaging 16.3 points per game this season.

Currently, the Rebels’ defense holds the 137th rank in the nation, allowing 70.4 points per game. The Ole Miss defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 85 points and allowed Florida to connect on 8 threes.