Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick & Prediction 1/13/24

At 8:00 ET tonight, the Milwaukee Bucks (-621) will host the Golden State Warriors (+452) in a non-conference matchup. The over/under line is currently set at 245 points.

Golden State is currently 18-20 and 12th in the Western Conference, while the Bucks are 26-12 and 2nd in the Eastern Conference. NBCS will have TV coverage from Fiserv Forum.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS MILWAUKEE BUCKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Golden State Warriors +11.5

This game will be played at Fiserv Forum at 8:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.

WHY BET THE GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 118-111 in favor of the Bucks.
• Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with Giannis Antetokounmpo points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists.
• From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.0% and knocking down 15 threes.

Will Golden State Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

Golden State is 18-20 overall this season and is currently in 12th place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 7-4 compared to 11-16 against other Western Conference teams.

As the 11.5-point underdog, the Warriors will look to improve their 4-12 record as the underdog. On the road, they are 10-6 ATS and have covered the spread in their last two road games.

This season, the over has hit in three straight Warriors games. For the season, their O/U record is 22-15-1. In their last game, they combined with the Bulls for 271 points, topping the O/U line of 228.

Golden State’s last game was a 140-131 win over the Bulls. They were 2.5-point underdogs going into the game, giving them an ATS win by 9 points.

The Warriors’ offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 117.4 points per game (10th). When playing on the road, they are scoring 119.7 points per game (5th). In terms of pace, Golden State is 15th in the NBA with 99.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Warriors are 23rd in field goal percentage at 46%. From two-point range, they are 18th in the league at 54%. However, Golden State is one of the top three-point shooting teams, making an average of 14.8 threes per game (4th).

So far this season, the Warriors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 55.3% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 6th in the league with 28.3 per game. When it comes to offensive rebounds, Golden State is 2nd in the NBA with an average of 12.9 per game.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, the Warriors is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 117.9 points per game (22nd). On two point field goal attempts, the Warriors’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.6% and allowing 36.0% from beyond the arc.

Will the Bucks Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

This season, the Bucks have been the favorite in all but one of their games. Overall, they have a record of 26-11 straight up as the favorite and are 15-22 ATS. Today, they are 11.5-point favorites at home.

Against the spread, Milwaukee has a home record of 8-13. On average, they have a scoring differential of +6.4 points per game at home. However, they have failed to cover the spread in three straight home games.

Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Bucks are 21-10 compared to 5-2 in non-conference games. In the East, they are currently in 2nd place and lead the Central Division.

Milwaukee’s last game was a 135-102 win over the Celtics. They covered the spread as 2-point favorites and the game’s total of 237 was below the O/U line of 247.5.

When it comes to scoring, the Bucks are one of the top teams in the NBA, averaging 124.4 points per game (2nd). At home, they are averaging 125.1 points per game (3rd).

In terms of pace, the Bucks are 4th in the NBA at 101.9 possessions per game. They have also been efficient, shooting 50% from the field (3rd).

One area where the Bucks have excelled is getting to the free-throw line. They are 3rd in the league in free-throw attempts (26.5 per game) and have made an average of 20.6 free throws per game (3rd).

As they prepare for the upcoming game, the Bucks is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 119.4 points per game (24th). On two point field goal attempts, the Bucks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.9% and allowing 33.2% from beyond the arc.