Butler Bulldogs vs Providence Friars Betting Pick & Prediction 12/23/23

Planning on watching today’s Bulldogs and Friars game? Catch the action at Amica Mutual Pavilion in Providence, RI, as the Friars hosts this showdown at 12:00 ET on FS1. The over/under for this Big East conference contest is set at 142 points, with the Friars being the favored team playing at home against the Bulldogs.
BUTLER BULLDOGS VS PROVIDENCE FRIARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Providence Friars -5.5
This game will be played at Amica Mutual Pavilion at 12:00 ET on Saturday, December 23rd.
WHY BET THE PROVIDENCE FRIARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Friars.
- Not only will Providence pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 142 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.
Do the Bulldogs Stand a Chance on the Road?
In their game against Providence, the Butler Bulldogs have a 10-2 overall record. In their last five road games, which includes games from last year, Butler has gone 2-3 on the road. Butler has a positive record against the spread, sitting at 7-1. This includes a 1-1 mark on the road and a perfect 6-0 record at home.
Butler’s games have, on average, featured 152.4 points per game leading to an over/under record of 4-4-0. Their average over/under line is currently 141.9 points so far. The Bulldogs have seen their last five games conclude with a collective average of 163 points per game and an over/under record of 2-2.
Butler finished with 103 points in their game against Texas Tech. This total surpasses their season-average of 83.8 points per game. The top scorer for the Bulldogs was Jahmyl Telfort with 26 points, while DJ Davis also added 25 to the scoreboard.
So far, the Bulldogs’ defense is ranked 127th in the country at 69.6 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Butler defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Texas Tech knocked down 12 three-pointers on their way to 95 points.
Can the Friars Please their Home Crowd?
Providence enters their 13th game of the season with a 10-2 record. In their previous ten home games, Providence has a 9-1 record, which also includes last year. Providence has a winning ATS record, sitting above .500 at 5-4. In their last ten games, Providence has gone 3-2 vs. the spread.
After 12 games, Providence has an over/under record of 2-7-0, with their games averaging a combined 138.9 points per game so far. The Friars have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last three games, with their games averaging 132 points per game.
Compared to their season average of 74.4 points per game, Providence struggled in their previous game. Against Oklahoma, the Friars scored 51 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 40.4%. Bryce Hopkins is leading the team in scoring at 16.3 points per contest. Devin Carter has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 16.3 going into the game.
This season, the Providence defense has been impressive, holding the 24th position in the country while permitting an average of 62.2 points per contest. Against Oklahoma in their most recent game, the Providence defense gave up a total of 72 points while allowing Oklahoma to hit 46% of their shots.