Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 12/18/23

Don’t miss out on the NBA showdown between the Timberwolves and Heat. The game is starting at 7:30 ET on BSSU, and it’s hosted by the Heat at Kaseya Center in Miami, FL. Get ready to place your bets! In this non-conference matchup, the Timberwolves are the betting favorite against the Heat. The over/under for the game is 219 points.

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat +1

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Monday, December 18th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 115-110 in favor of the Heat.
• Our projections have Bam Adebayo finishing with Bam Adebayo points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists.
• From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 51.8% and knocking down 11 threes.

Will the Minnesota Defense Show Up on the Road?

With a current record of 19-5, the Timberwolves are looking to stay above .500 as they take on the Heat today. In the Western Conference, the Timberwolves are in 1st place and are also 1st in the Northwest division.

The Timberwolves have covered the spread successfully in their previous two games and maintain an overall ATS record of 13-10. When playing on the road, the Timberwolves hold an ATS record of 5-6 in contrast to a 8-4 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Timberwolves recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 127 points against the Pacers. This output exceeded their season average of 113.6 points per game. Minnesota’s offense is currently one of the slower paced teams in the NBA, at 98.1 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 23rd in attempts and 6th in three-point shooting percentage.

In the current season, the Timberwolves defense has excelled, sitting 1st in the NBA by allowing 105.8 points per game.

For the season, Minnesota is ranked 19th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 20.8 free-throws per game vs. the Timberwolves and have an overall field goal percentage of 43.6%.

Will Miami Find a Way to Win at Home?

Currently, the Heat are 15-11 overall and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. In the Eastern Conference, they are 5th and are 2nd in the Southeast division.

Miami has an overall ATS record of 11-14 as they come into today’s game. This season, Miami has a 6-9 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 5-5 as underdogs.

The Heat offense is coming off a game in which they scored 118 points vs. the Bulls. Overall their field goal percentage was 51.8% while connecting on 13 threes. The team’s top scorer is Jimmy Butler, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 21.8, while Bam Adebayo also maintains a PPG average of 22.2 leading up to the game.

At present, the Heat’s defense is ranked 10th, allowing 112.0 points per game.

The Miami defense has allowed opponents to shoot 38.3% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.5% of their field goal attempts vs. Miami.