UT Arlington Mavericks vs Air Force Falcons Betting Pick & Prediction 12/16/23

This article was published on Dec 16, 2023. Today’s picks College Basketball picks

UT Arlington Mavericks vs Air Force Falcons Betting Pick & Prediction 12/16/23

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Mavericks versus the Falcons? Tip off is at at 5:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, TX. The Mavericks are the favored team in this non-conference contest against the Falcons. The game’s over/under currently sits at 131 points.

UT ARLINGTON MAVERICKS VS AIR FORCE FALCONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Air Force Falcons +1

This game will be played at Dickies Arena at 5:00 ET on Saturday, December 16th.

WHY BET THE AIR FORCE FALCONS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-67 in favor of the Falcons.
  • Not only will Air Force pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 131 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will the Mavericks Find a Way to Win on the Road?

UT Arlington comes into their game against Air Force with a 5-4 record on the season. In their last five road games, including those from last year, UT Arlington has gone winless, losing all five. As of today’s game, UT Arlington holds a 5-2 against the spread (ATS) record. When examining their performance in the team’s previous five games, they have a 3-1 ATS record.

UT Arlington’s games have, on average, featured 151 points per game leading to an over/under record of 5-2-0. Their average over/under line is currently 145.6 points so far. The Mavericks’ last five games have culminated with an average of 140 points per game and an over/under record of 3-1.

Coming off their recent game, the UT Arlington offense tallied 69 points in a matchup against Grand Canyon. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.2%, and they made 6 threes. Fabio Basili led the team in scoring, putting up 15 points. Additionally, Dwayne Koroma contributed 10 points for the Mavericks.

So far, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 145th in the country at 71.6 points per contest. UT Arlington’s three-point defense is currently 68th in the country at 6.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.8% of their shots vs. UT Arlington.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen at Home?

Today, Air Force will play against UT Arlington with a season record of 7-3. In their previous ten home games, including last year, Air Force has a home record of 5-5. Air Force has a subpar ATS performance, sitting below .500 with a 4-5 ATS record. The Falcons are currently 2-2 vs. the spread on the road and 2-3 at home.

Air Force’s games have, on average, featured 128.7 points per game leading to an over/under record of 4-5-0. Their average over/under line is currently 133.4 points so far. Over the course of the last five games, the Falcons’ games have averaged 124 points per game, along with an over/under record of 2-3.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Air Force’s offense scored 80 points against Portland. Their field goal percentage for the game was 54.4%, and they went 9/14 from the free-throw line. The team’s top scorer is Ethan Taylor, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 18.8, while Beau Becker also carries a PPG average of 15.1 into the game.

So far this season, the Air Force defense has been performing well, ranking 26th in the country at 62.6 points allowed per contest. In their previous game vs. Portland, the Pilots finished with a field goal percentage of 42% and a total of 58 points vs. Air Force.