Austin Peay Governors vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Betting Pick & Prediction 12/16/23

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Governors versus the Hilltoppers? Tip off is at at 3:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at E. A. Diddle Arena in Bowling Green, KY. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 143 points, with the Hilltoppers being the favored team playing at home against the Governors.
AUSTIN PEAY GOVERNORS VS WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Austin Peay Governors +9.5
This game will be played at E. A. Diddle Arena at 3:00 ET on Saturday, December 16th.
WHY BET THE AUSTIN PEAY GOVERNORS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Hilltoppers.
- Even though we have Western Kentucky winning straight-up, we like Austin Peay at +9.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 143 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Will the Governors Defense Show Up in Bowling Green?
Today, Austin Peay will be playing Western Kentucky with a record of 6-6. As the away team, Austin Peay has a record of 2-5, and they are 0-1 at home this season. As of now, Austin Peay has a 4-4 ATS record heading into today’s game. Looking at their performance in the last five games, they have a 3-1 record vs. the spread.
Austin Peay’s games have, on average, featured 129.4 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-5-0. Their average over/under line is currently 133.9 points so far. When assessing the Governors’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 1-1, with their games averaging 126 points per game.
In their recent game, the Governors’ offense concluded with 70 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 67 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Demarcus Sharp, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 18.5, while Ja’Monta Black also carries a PPG average of 13.4 into the game.
At present, the Governors’ defense is nationally ranked 38th, allowing 63.6 points per game. Austin Peay will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Southern Illinois to just 0% shooting in their most recent game.
Can Western Kentucky Secure a Home Victory?
Western Kentucky comes into their 12th game of the season with a record of 8-3. Over their last three games, including last year, Western Kentucky is 2-1 at home. As of now, Western Kentucky has a winning ATS record at 4-3. However, when playing at home this season, Western Kentucky has yet to cover the spread, going 0-2. In their last ten home games, they have gone 4-3 vs. the spread.
After 11 games, Western Kentucky has an over/under record of 3-4-0, with their games averaging a combined 152 points per game so far. When assessing the Hilltoppers’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 1-2, with their games averaging 156 points per game.
Western Kentucky’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Wright State, finishing the game with a total of 91 points. Their season average is now 81.9 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Donald McHenry, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.1, while Brandon Newman also carries a PPG average of 10.3 into the game.
The Hilltoppers’ defense is presently ranked 180th nationally, allowing an average of 73.8 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 4.4 threes per game vs. Austin Peay. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 21.9%.