Arizona Coyotes vs Buffalo Sabres Betting Pick & Prediction 12/11/23

Looking to win big? The Coyotes and Sabres face off at 7:00 ET on MSG-. The Sabres are hosting the game at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 6.5 goals, with the Sabres being the favored team playing at home against the Coyotes.
ARIZONA COYOTES VS BUFFALO SABRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Buffalo Sabres -1.5
This game will be played at KeyBank Center at 7:00 ET on Monday, December 11th.
WHY BET THE BUFFALO SABRES:
- Coming in as 1.5 goal favorites, our projections have the Sabres picking up a 4-3 win.
- Take the Sabres on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Coyotes (+1.5)
Will Arizona Shock Everyone at KeyBank Center?
In their 26 games, the Coyotes have a 13-11-2 record this season. While playing at their home arena, they have a 8-5-0 record, and their record on the road is 5-6-2. They are currently positioned 5th in the Western Central division and 8th in the Western conference.
Arizona is 14-12 against the puck line this season. On the road, their puck line record sits at 8-5 compared to 6-7 at home. This season, Arizona’s games are averaging 6.3 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.2. The Coyotes currently have an over/under record of 15-11-0.
Through their last three road games, Arizona has an puck line record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 2 goals per game.
On offense, the Coyotes are averaging 3.2 goals per game which is 17th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 31st in the league. Arizona’s offense comes into the game ranked 9th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 29th in the NHL.
Arizona’s leading scorer is Michael Carcone. So far, he has 13 goals which is 23rd in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Carcone has 3 assists this season.
Buffalo defense takes on the Coyotes ranked 15th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.8 shots per game against Buffalo. They alsso are 24th in shutouts, with 1 shutouts.
Goalie Karel Vejmelka gets the start and has made 10 starts this season. His record at this point is 2-6, and his save percentage is 89.2%.
Can Buffalo Deliver Being Favored at Home?
This season, the Sabres currently hold an overall record of 11-14-3. When playing on the road, Buffalo has a 6-7-2 record, while they are 5-8-1 at home. In the Eastern Atlantic division, they are currently 7th, and in the Eastern conference, they come into the game sitting 14th.
When it came to the puck line, Buffalo have posted a 14-14 record. Their road performance against the puck line stands at 10-5, while they are 4-9 at home. For the season, Buffalo’s games have finished with an average of 6.2 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.5. Overall, the Sabres have an over/under record of 11-16-1.
In their last three games at home, the Sabres have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 3 goals per game in these contests.
When looking at their offense, the Sabres have an average of 2.8 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 21st in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 13th in the league. This season, the Sabres are 7-8 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 4-7 record.
Buffalo’s leading scorer is Jeff Skinner. So far, he has 12 goals which is 26th in the NHL. Skinner also comes into the game with 9 assists.
Defensively, the Sabres come into the season ranked 15th in goals allowed. Opponents are averging 29.8 shots per game against Buffalo. For the season, they are ranked 24th in shutouts, coming in with 1 shutouts.
Heading into this matchup vs. Arizona, goalie Devon Levi has started 10 games in this season. His current record is 4-4, and his save percentage stands at 89.1%.