Missouri State Bears vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Pick & Prediction 12/5/23

Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bears and Blue Raiders. The game is starting at 7:30 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Blue Raiders at Murphy Athletic Center in Murfreesboro, TN. Get ready to place your bets! The Bears are favored in this non-conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 132.5 points.
MISSOURI STATE BEARS VS MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +1
This game will be played at Murphy Athletic Center at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, December 5th.
WHY BET THE MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-67 in favor of the Blue Raiders.
- Not only will Middle Tennessee pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.
Will the Bears Secure A Victory as Road Favorites?
Missouri State is 6-2 overall after eight games. They are 0-2 on the road and 5-0 at home. At the moment, Missouri State has an ATS record of 4-3, which is above .500. However, when playing on the road this season, Missouri State is 0-2 vs. the spread. In their previous ten road games, Missouri State has a 2-6-2 ATS record.
Up to this point, games involving Missouri State have had an average of 140.4 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 141.6 points. Their over/under record is 3-4-0. The Bears’ last five games have finished with a combined 145 points per game and an over/under record of 2-2.
In their latest game, Missouri State offense put up 57 points against Drake. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 35.5% and made 5 threes. Donovan Clay is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.2 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Matthew Lee brings a PPG average of 13.4 into the game.
At present, the Bears’ defense is nationally ranked 88th, allowing 68.0 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Missouri State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 27.4% this season.
Will Middle Tennessee Come Through as Home Underdogs?
This will be Middle Tennessee’s 10th game of the season and they are sitting at 4-5 overall, with a matchup against Missouri State. The Blue Raiders have a 0-2 record when playing on the road, and they have gone 3-3 at home. Prior to today’s game, Middle Tennessee has a 2-6 record ATS. In their last five games, they are 0-5 vs. the spread.
So far, Middle Tennessee’s games have averaged 127.9 points per game with the average over/under line being 136.1 points. Looking at the Blue Raiders’ last three games, their over/under record is 1-1-1 with their games averaging 136 points per game.
In their most recent game, the Middle Tennessee offense put up just 64 points vs. the Wofford Terriers. Overall, they are now averaging 65 points per game which is 393rd in the country. Leading the team in scoring is Elias King, who is averaging 11.3 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jestin Porter also maintains a PPG average of 10.6 heading into game.
Currently, the Blue Raiders’ defense holds the 53rd rank in the nation, allowing 65.3 points per game. The Middle Tennessee defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 74 points and allowed Wofford to connect on 7 threes.