Dayton Flyers vs SMU Mustangs Betting Pick & Prediction 11/29/23

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Flyers versus the Mustangs? Tip off is at at 8:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Moody Coliseum in Dallas, TX. The odds for this non-conference game currently have the Mustangs as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 135.5 points.

DAYTON FLYERS VS SMU MUSTANGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: SMU Mustangs -1

This game will be played at Moody Coliseum at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, November 29th.

WHY BET THE SMU MUSTANGS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-67 in favor of the Mustangs.
• Not only will SMU pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 135.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 142 points.

Will the Flyers Pull Through as the Away Underdog?

After six games, Dayton’s record stands at 4-2. So far this season, all of the Flyers’ games have been played on the road. Dayton’s ATS record sits at 2-4, putting them below the .500 mark. Looking at their performance in the last five games, the team is 2-2-1 ATS.

In six games, Dayton comes in with an over/under mark of 4-2-0, with their games averaging 137.2 points per game. Looking at the Flyers’ last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 with their games averaging 73 points per game.

The Dayton offense is coming off a game where they scored 77 points against Youngstown State. They posted a field goal percentage of 51% and connected on 10 threes. DaRon Holmes II is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 16.5 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Nate Santos brings a PPG average of 13 into the game.

At present, the Flyers’ defense is nationally ranked 82nd, allowing 67.3 points per game. So far, the Dayton defense is giving up an average of 8.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.8 times per game (317th).

Will the Mustangs Win at Home?

Following a 70-57 victory against Louisiana-Monroe, SMU improved to 4-2 on the season. The Mustangs have split their two road games and have gone 3-1 at home. Regarding against the spread (ATS), SMU has a current record of 2-4. When playing at home, SMU is 1-3 ATS this season, and in their last ten home games, they have a 3-5-2 ATS record.

In six games, SMU comes in with an over/under mark of 1-5-0, with their games averaging 136.3 points per game. When looking at the Mustangs’ last three games, their over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 71 points per game.

The SMU offense is coming off a game where they scored 70 points against Louisiana-Monroe. They posted a field goal percentage of 43.1% and connected on 8 threes. Zhuric Phelps was the leading scorer for the Mustangs, putting up 21 points. In addition, Chuck Harris contributed 15 points.

SMU’s defense has been playing well, ranking 37th nationally, with 63.7 points allowed per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.1 threes per game vs. Dayton. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 23.3%.