Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders Betting Pick & Prediction 12/3/23

The Miami Dolphins and Washington Commanders will face off on Sunday, December 3rd at 1:00 ET. You can find this week 13 NFL game between the Dolphins and Commanders on FOX. In this non-conference matchup, the Dolphins are favored by 9.5 to secure the win. Is betting on them to cover the spread the right choice, or should you consider the Commanders for better value? Keep reading to learn more.

MIAMI DOLPHINS VS WASHINGTON COMMANDERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Commanders +9.5

This game will be played at FedEx Field at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 3rd.

WHY BET THE WASHINGTON COMMANDERS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 23-22 in favor of the Dolphins.
• Our projections have Tua Tagovailoa finishing with 282.767 passing yards on 23.275/37.944 passing.
• The Dolphins are projected to finish with 345 yards of offense compared to the 341 yards for the Commanders.

Will the Miami Defense Show Up on the Road?

This season, the Dolphins hold the 1st position in the AFC-East with an overall record of 8-3. In non-conference games, they have a record of 2-1, and in AFC action, they are 6-2. The Dolphins’ scoring margin for the season is currently +8. This has contributed to their ATS record of 7-4.

On the offensive front, the Dolphins are currently averaging 30.8 points per game, positioning them 2nd in the NFL. Miami is currently 16th in passing attempts and are averaging 8.3 yards per attempt (2). At 285.3 passing yards per game, they are 1st in the league.

With 145.2 rushing yards per game, the Dolphins hold the 2nd spot in the NFL. This average is coming on an average of 26.5 rushing attempts (15th).

In terms of turnovers, the Miami defense has 14 takeaways, which is 9th in the NFL. Overall, they are giving up 22.8 points per game and 305.2 yards.

Will Washington Find a Way to Win at Home?

Over the course of 12 games, the Commanders have put together a record of 4-8. This positions them 4th in the NFC-East and 14th in the NFC. The Commanders hold a 5-6-1 record against the spread. As we approach week 13, their scoring margin stands at -8.7 per game.

The Washington offense is currently ranked 17th in the league, averaging 20.5 points per contest. Washington’s passing attack comes in to this week’s game ranked 9th in passing yards. In addition, they are 1st in attempts, throwing the ball an average of 40.5 times per game.

The Commanders come into the game handing the ball off 21.4 times per game and are currently 23rd in rushing yards. Their average yards per attempt is 4.6.

Defensively, the Commanders come into the game allowing an average of 264.6 passing yards per game and 113.1 rushing yards. When it comes to sacks, Washington ranks 6th among other defenses. Overall, they are giving up 29.2 points on 377.7 yards.