Northwestern State Demons vs Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Betting Pick & Prediction 11/28/23

Planning on watching today’s Demons and Warhawks game? Catch the action at Fant-Ewing Coliseum in Monroe, LA, as the Warhawks hosts this showdown at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 142.5 points, and the Warhawks are favored to win at home vs. the Demons.

NORTHWESTERN STATE DEMONS VS LOUISIANA-MONROE WARHAWKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Northwestern State Demons +7.5

This game will be played at Fant-Ewing Coliseum at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, November 28th.

WHY BET THE NORTHWESTERN STATE DEMONS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Warhawks.
• Even though we have Louisiana-Monroe winning straight-up, we like Northwestern State at +7.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 142.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Does Northwestern State Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Northwestern State is preparing for their sixth game of the season, coming in with a record of 0-5. In their last ten road games, including those from last year, Northwestern State has a record of 5-5. As Northwestern State enters today’s game, their ATS record sits at 0-5. However, when examining their performance in the previous five games, they have gone 3-2 vs. the spread.

Up to this point, games involving Northwestern State have had an average of 155 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 149.7 points. Their over/under record is 4-1-0. When looking at the Demons’ last three games, their over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 71 points per game.

In their recent matchup, the Northwestern State offense ended with 75 points against Presbyterian. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 46.6% and made 5 threes. In terms of offense, the Demons have a season-long field goal percentage of 42%, putting them 322nd in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 394th in percentage and 302nd in three-pointers made.

Facing Louisiana-Monroe, Northwestern State aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 79.0 points allowed per game (200th). The Northwestern State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 78 points and allowed Presbyterian to connect on 7 threes.

Can the Warhawks Grab a Win at Home?

Louisiana-Monroe is getting ready for their fifth game of the season, with a record of 1-3. In their last five games at home, which includes last year, Louisiana-Monroe has gone 1-4. Examining Louisiana-Monroe’s ATS performance thus far, they enter today’s game with a 1-3 ATS record. Over their last ten games, including those from the previous season, Louisiana-Monroe has gone 4-5 vs. the spread.

In four games, Louisiana-Monroe comes in with an over/under mark of 1-3-0, with their games averaging 129 points per game. When analyzing the Warhawks’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 70 points per game and an over/under record of 1-3.

In their recent matchup, the Louisiana-Monroe offense ended with 57 points against SMU. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 33.8% and made 5 threes. Tyreese Watson led the team in scoring, putting up 14 points. Additionally, Jalen Bolden contributed 8 points for the Warhawks.

At this time, the Warhawks’ defense is positioned 139th in the country, permitting 73.0 points per game. Against SMU in their most recent game, the Louisiana-Monroe defense gave up a total of 70 points while allowing SMU to hit 43% of their shots.