Denver Pioneers vs Texas A&M-Commerce Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 11/26/23

Looking to win big? The Pioneers and Lions face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lions are hosting the game at The Field House in Commerce, TX. The over/under for this game is set at 155.5 points, and the Lions are the home favorites against the Pioneers in a non-conference matchup.

DENVER PIONEERS VS TEXAS A&M-COMMERCE LIONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Texas A&M-Commerce Lions -1.5

This game will be played at The Field House at 2:00 ET on Sunday, November 26th.

WHY BET THE TEXAS A&M-COMMERCE LIONS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Lions.
• Not only will Texas A&M-Commerce pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 155.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog Denver?

Denver comes into their game against Texas A&M-Commerce with a 2-3 record for the season. In their previous ten road games, which includes last year, Denver has gone 2-8. As of now, Denver has a 2-3 record vs. the spread heading into today’s game. In their previous five games, the team is 2-2 vs. the spread.

Through five games, Denver has an over/under record of 4-1-0 with their games averaging a combined 167.8 points per game so far. In their most recent three games, the Pioneers’ over/under record is 1-1, with their games averaging 83 points per game.

In contrast to their season average of 87.3 points per game, the Denver had a below average performance. They scored 75 points against South Alabama and had a field goal percentage of 38.2%. The top scorer for the Pioneers was Tommy Bruner with 18 points, while Touko Tainamo also added 13 to the scoreboard.

At present, the Pioneers’ defense is nationally ranked 199th, allowing 80.5 points per game. The Denver defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 82 points and allowed South Alabama to connect on 8 threes.

Can the Texas A&M-Commerce Offense Score Enough at Home?

Texas A&M-Commerce is entering their 7th game of the season with a 2-4 overall record. In their last three home games, including last year, Texas A&M-Commerce has a 1-2 record. As of today’s game, Texas A&M-Commerce holds a 2-4 record against the spread. Looking at their performance in the previous five games, they are 1-2-1 vs. the spread.

Up to this point, games involving Texas A&M-Commerce have had an average of 138.2 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 141.6 points. Their over/under record is 2-4-0. In the Lions’ last five games, the combined scoring average stands at 90 points per game, accompanied by an over/under record of 4-0.

Texas A&M-Commerce is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 97 points versus Stonehill. This output is higher than their season-average of 69.1 points per game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Jerome Brewer Jr. who comes into today’s matchup averaging 13.3. Kalen Williams also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.

The Lions’ defense is presently ranked 146th nationally, allowing an average of 74.4 points per contest. So far, the Texas A&M-Commerce defense is giving up an average of 8.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.3 times per game (337th).