California Golden Bears vs San Diego State Aztecs Betting Pick & Prediction 11/25/23

Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Golden Bears and Aztecs. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on MWN, and it’s hosted by the Aztecs at Pavilion in San Juan Capistrano, CA. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 143.5 points, and the Aztecs are the home favorites against the Golden Bears in a non-conference matchup.

CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS VS SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS BETTING PICK

The Pick: California Golden Bears +13.5

This game will be played at Pavilion at 7:00 ET on Saturday, November 25th.

WHY BET THE CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Aztecs.
• Even though we have San Diego State winning straight-up, we like California at +13.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog California?

As California prepares for their 7th game of the season, they currently have a 2-4 record. Looking back at their last ten road games, California has gone 0-10, including games from last year. Heading into their game against San Diego State, California holds an ATS record of 1-5. Over their last five games, the team has gone 3-2 vs. the spread.

In six games, California comes in with an over/under mark of 4-2-0, with their games averaging 147.3 points per game. The Golden Bears’ have recorded an over/under record of 2-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 71 points per game.

California is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 81 points vs. Tulane. This figure is more than their season average of 74.3 points per game. Jaylon Tyson led the scoring for the Golden Bears, contributing 24 points. Additionally, Fardaws Aimaq chipped in with 23 points.

At this time, the Golden Bears’ defense is positioned 123rd in the country, permitting 73.0 points per game. California’s three-point defense is currently 65th in the country at 7.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.1% of their shots vs. California.

Can the Aztecs Deliver Being Favored at Home?

San Diego State, who has a 3-1 record, will face California in their 5th game of the season. In their previous ten home games, including last year, San Diego State has a 6-4 record. San Diego State enters today’s game with a 2-2 record against the spread. Thus far, the Aztecs have gone 1-1 vs. the spread on the road and 1-1 at home.

So far, San Diego State’s games have averaged 144 points per game with the average over/under line being 138.8 points. The Aztecs’ last five games have finished with a combined 80 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.

The Aztecs’ offense wrapped up their last game with 79 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 83 points per contest. Jaedon LeDee is leading the team in scoring at 26.8 points per contest. Reese Waters has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 15.4 going into the game.

San Diego State’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 71.6 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.0 threes per game vs. California. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.9%.