UMBC Retrievers vs William & Mary Tribe Betting Pick & Prediction 11/25/23
This article was published on Nov 25, 2023. Today’s picks College Basketball picks

Planning on watching today’s Retrievers and Tribe game? Catch the action at Kaplan Arena in Williamsburg, VA, as the Tribe hosts this showdown at 2:00 ET on FloH. The over/under for this game is set at 158 points, and the Tribe are the home favorites against the Retrievers in a non-conference matchup.
UMBC RETRIEVERS VS WILLIAM & MARY TRIBE BETTING PICK
The Pick: William & Mary Tribe -2.5
This game will be played at Kaplan Arena at 2:00 ET on Saturday, November 25th.
WHY BET THE WILLIAM & MARY TRIBE:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Tribe.
- Not only will William & Mary pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 158 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Does UMBC Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?
UMBC enters their game against William & Mary with a record of 2-3. In their last five road games, including last year, UMBC has gone 1-4. UMBC’s ATS record leading into today’s game is 2-3. When considering the team’s performance in their previous five games, they hold a 2-2 record vs. the spread.
Up to this point, games involving UMBC have had an average of 161.8 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 146.9 points. Their over/under record is 4-1-0. When looking at the Retrievers’ last three games, their over/under record is 3-0, with their games averaging 82 points per game.
The UMBC offense is coming off a game where they scored 68 points against Maryland. They posted a field goal percentage of 39.7% and connected on 5 threes. Khydarius Smith is leading the team in scoring at 14.5 points per contest. Dion Brown has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14 going into the game.
As they prepare for the upcoming game, UMBC is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 79.2 points per game (178th). UMBC’s three-point defense is currently 45th in the country at 6.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 44.4% of their shots vs. UMBC.
Can the Tribe Live Up to the Hype at Home?
The upcoming game against UMBC will be the fifth game of the season for William & Mary, who currently have a 1-3 record. In their last ten home games, including those from last year, William & Mary has gone 0-10. In terms of William & Mary’s performance against the spread, they enter today’s game with a 1-3 record. When playing on their home court, William & Mary has a 1-2 record vs. the spread this season and has struggled at home with a 1-9 ATS mark in their previous ten games.
Through four games, William & Mary has an over/under record of 2-2-0 with their games averaging a combined 154.5 points per game so far. When looking at the Tribe’s last three games, their over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 72 points per game.
The William & Mary offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 60 points versus Lindenwood. During the game, they attempted 25 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 37%. Chase Lowe led the scoring for the Tribe, contributing 17 points. Additionally, Gabe Dorsey chipped in with 16 points.
Coming into today’s game, the William & Mary defense is giving up an average of 70.0 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Lindenwood, the Lions finished with a field goal percentage of 37% and a total of 71 points vs. William & Mary.
