Southern Jaguars vs Valparaiso Beacons Betting Pick & Prediction 11/25/23

Looking to win big? The Jaguars and Beacons face off at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The Beacons are hosting the game at Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso, IN. The over/under for this game is set at 145.5 points, and the Beacons are the home favorites against the Jaguars in a non-conference matchup.

SOUTHERN JAGUARS VS VALPARAISO BEACONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Valparaiso Beacons -1.5

This game will be played at Athletics-Recreation Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, November 25th.

WHY BET THE VALPARAISO BEACONS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-66 in favor of the Beacons.
• Not only will Valparaiso pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Is a Road Win Possible for the Jaguars?

Southern is playing their fifth game of the season and have a 1-3 record. So far, all of the Jaguars’ games this year have been away games. In terms of ATS, Southern has a 1-3 record heading into today’s game. Taking into account their performance in the previous season, Southern has a 2-8 ATS record in their last ten games.

Through four games, Southern has an over/under record of 3-1-0 with their games averaging a combined 160.8 points per game so far. When assessing the Jaguars’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 2-1, with their games averaging 66 points per game.

Coming off their recent game, the Southern offense tallied 60 points in a matchup against Illinois. Their field goal percentage for the game was 37.7%, and they made 5 threes. In terms of offense, the Jaguars have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, putting them 281st in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 215th in percentage and 216th in three-pointers made.

Facing Valparaiso, Southern aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 90.4 points allowed per game (221st). Against Illinois in their most recent game, the Southern defense gave up a total of 88 points while allowing Illinois to hit 57% of their shots.

Will the Valparaiso Defense Show Up at Home?

Valparaiso comes into their 5th game of the season with a 2-2 overall record. The Beacons are 0-1 on the road and 2-1 at home. Valparaiso has a 2-2 record vs. the spread heading into today’s game. Taking into account their performance in the previous season, Valparaiso is 6-3 vs. the spread in their last ten games.

Up to this point, games involving Valparaiso have had an average of 133.8 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 140.2 points. Their over/under record is 1-3-0. The Beacons’ have recorded an over/under record of 0-3 in their last three games, with their games averaging 64 points per game.

The Valparaiso offense is coming off a game in which they scored 73 points vs. Western Illinois. Overall their field goal percentage was 47.3% while connecting on 7 threes. The top scorer for the Beacons was Ola Ajiboye with 21 points, while Cooper Schwieger also added 13 to the scoreboard.

At this time, the Beacons’ defense is positioned 77th in the country, permitting 67.8 points per game. In their previous game vs. Western Illinois, the Leathernecks finished with a field goal percentage of 47% and a total of 66 points vs. Valparaiso.