Youngstown State Penguins vs Dayton Flyers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/24/23

Looking to win big? The Penguins and Flyers face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Flyers are hosting the game at UD Arena in Dayton, OH. The over/under for this game is set at 139 points, and the Flyers are the home favorites against the Penguins in a non-conference matchup.

YOUNGSTOWN STATE PENGUINS VS DAYTON FLYERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Youngstown State Penguins +13.5

This game will be played at UD Arena at 7:00 ET on Friday, November 24th.

WHY BET THE YOUNGSTOWN STATE PENGUINS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-67 in favor of the Flyers.
• Even though we have Dayton winning straight-up, we like Youngstown State at +13.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 139 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Can Youngstown State Pull Off a Road Win?

Youngstown State comes into this game against Dayton with a record of 1-2. In their last three road games, including last year, Youngstown State is 0-3. Entering today’s game, Youngstown State has a 1-2 record against the spread. In their previous three games, the team has gone 1-0 ATS with an average scoring differential of +3.

Looking at their over/under performance through three games, Youngstown State has an over/under record of 1-2-0, with their games averaging 143.7 points per game on average. When analyzing the Penguins’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 75 points per game and an over/under record of 1-2.

In their recent game, the Penguins’ offense concluded with 75 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 75.4 points per contest. Currently leading the team in scoring is Brandon Rush who comes into today’s matchup averaging 13.4. DJ Burns also heads into the game with a PPG average of 11.4.

On defense, Youngstown State is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 72.0 points per game. Against Utah Tech in their most recent game, the Youngstown State defense gave up a total of 68 points while allowing Utah Tech to hit 39% of their shots.

Pressure Builds for Dayton as Home Favorites

Dayton heads into their sixth game of the season with a record of 3-2. In their last five home games, including those from last year, Dayton has a record of 1-4. As we examine Dayton’s performance against the spread, they currently hold a 2-3 record. In home games this season, Dayton has gone 1-1 vs. the spread, and in their last ten home games, they have a 4-5-1 ATS record.

Up to this point, games involving Dayton have had an average of 135.4 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 132.4 points. Their over/under record is 3-2-0. When looking at the Flyers’ last three games, their over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 76 points per game.

The Dayton offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 55 points versus Houston. During the game, they attempted 18 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 40.4%. The top scorer for the Flyers was DaRon Holmes II with 16 points, while Nate Santos also added 14 to the scoreboard.

Currently, the Flyers’ defense holds the 74th rank in the nation, allowing 67.0 points per game. The Dayton defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 69 points and allowed Houston to connect on 8 threes.