Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/23
This article was published on Nov 20, 2023. Today’s picks College Football picks

At 7:30 ET, the Rebels and Bulldogs clash at Davis Wade Stadium for a week 13 NCAAF matchup. Catch the action on ESPN, with the game set for Thursday, November 23rd. This week’s SEC clash features the Rebels as 11.5 point road favorites. Can they secure a win on the road and cover the spread?
OLE MISS REBELS VS MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs +11.5
This game will be played at Davis Wade Stadium at 7:30 ET on Thursday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 33-22 in favor of Ole Miss.
- Even though we have Ole Miss winning straight-up, we like Mississippi State at +11.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 55.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 55 points.
Do the Rebels Have a Shot at a Road Win?
The Ole Miss Rebels take on the Mississippi State with a 9-2 record, including 2-2 on the road and 6-0 at home.
Heading into this week’s matchup with Mississippi State, the Rebels have been favored in seven games and the underdog in three. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 5-4-1.
Ole Miss has put together an over/under record of 4-6 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 60.2 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 60 points.
On offense, the Rebels come in with the 61st ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 293 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 19th in terms of attempts.
The Rebels defense heads into this week’s matchup with 33 sacks and sitting 1st in QB hurries. So far, they’ve allowed 23.7 points per game (89th). In the pass defense department, they’re 87th nationally, giving up 221.2 passing yards per game. Additionally, when it comes to defending the run, Ole Miss’ defense is allowing 157 rushing yards per contest.
Can the Bulldogs Lock in a Home Win?
This season, the Mississippi State Bulldogs are currently 5-6. So far this season, they have played four road games and five at home.
Against the spread, Mississippi State has gone 2-7 this season. The Bulldogs have been favored two times compared to seven games as the underdog.
Through 11 games, the average over/under line in Mississippi State’s games is 48 points. Their games have averaged a combined 50.6 points leading to an OU record of 6-3.
In the rushing game, the Bulldogs are currently 65th in college football with 370 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 151.6 rushing yards per game, putting them 77th nationally. Their passing game has averaged 28.1 passes and 179.5 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 74th, averaging 23.2 points per game.
Ranked 134th in passing yards allowed per game, Mississippi State’s defense gets ready to take on Ole Miss. Opponents have attempted an average of 28.5 passes per game against the Bulldogs. They’re allowing 27.5 points per contest, placing them 112th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 63rd in the NCAA.
