Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Betting Pick & Prediction 12/18/23

Planning on watching today’s Mavericks and Nuggets game? Catch the action at Ball Arena in Denver, CO, as the Nuggets hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on NBA. This Western conference matchup has an over/under of 238.5 points, and the Nuggets are favored to win at home vs. the Mavericks.

DALLAS MAVERICKS VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +7.5

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 ET on Monday, December 18th.

WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 115-108 in favor of the Mavericks.
• Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 7 rebounds and 8 assists.
• From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.8% and knocking down 18 threes.

Can the Dallas Offense Score Enough on the Road?

On the road this season, the Mavericks have gone 9-4 and are 7-5 at home. In their last three games, they are 2-1 and have an overall record of 16-9.

Dallas has an overall ATS record of 14-11 as they come into today’s game. With a four game ATS win streak as favorites, the Mavericks are 2-5 against the spread when they are underdogs.

Dallas’ offense is coming off a good game, putting up 131 points vs. the Trail Blazers. Overall, they hit 49.5% of their shots from the field and went 19/21 from the free-throw line. So far this season, the Mavericks offense has looked to push the pace, averaging 99.9 possessions per contest. For the season, they are 5th in field goal attempts per game and their season field goal percentage is 47%.

Currently, the Mavericks’ defense holds the 22nd rank in the NBA, allowing 117.1 points per game.

The Dallas defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.4% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.3% of their field goal attempts vs. Dallas.

Can the Nuggets Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Coming into today’s game against the Mavericks, the Nuggets are looking to build on their above .500 record of 17-10. When playing against teams from the Western Conference, the Nuggets are 12-8 in 27 games, while going 5-2 in non-conference games.

Denver’s ATS record sits below .500 (11-15). Denver has covered the spread in two straight road games and are 5-10 ATS on the road compared to 6-5 at home.

In their recent matchup, the Nuggets offense ended with 117 points against the Thunder. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 45.2% and made 12 threes. In terms of offense, the Nuggets have a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, putting them 5th in the NBA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 16th in percentage and 23rd in three-pointers made.

This season, the Nuggets defense has been impressive, holding the 6th position in the league while permitting an average of 110.8 points per contest.

Inside the arc, the Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.2% and 35.8% from three-point territory.